Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Pepperdine Waves vs. Oregon State Beavers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4c5d8ee43f77483ef695e463bbb67f40469925688feef2e4e43bcd5af136027
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oregon State Beaversof Pepperdine Waves, Oregon State Beavers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,607
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,139
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,607 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pepperdine Waves | 20c | 3,752$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.8 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Pepperdine Waves | 33c | 2,077$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.07 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Oregon State Beavers | 78c | 1,784$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.5 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Oregon State Beavers | 69c | 1,345$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Oregon State Beavers | 75c | 1,320$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.67 | 434 | 50%217 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Pepperdine Waves | 36c | 882.59$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.35 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Pepperdine Waves | 28c | 662.83$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.05 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5c…a5debacked Pepperdine Waves | 21c | 500$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.17 | 106 | 22.6%24 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65d4…4e71backed Oregon State Beavers | 62c | 499.99$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Oregon State Beavers | 79c | 305$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.05 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Pepperdine Waves | 19c | 269.2$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.11 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Oregon State Beavers | 70c | 226$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.8 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Oregon State Beavers | 72c | 220.99$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.44 | 252 | 46.4%117 W · 135 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Pepperdine Waves | 22c | 211$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.42 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Pepperdine Waves | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Pepperdine Waves | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d0…6fc8backed Pepperdine Waves | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Oregon State Beavers | 69c | 186$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.9 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Pepperdine Waves | 28c | 178.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.76 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…8276backed Pepperdine Waves | 52c | 177.65$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.38 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Oregon State Beavers | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Oregon State Beavers | 78c | 168.94$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.38 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…ea09backed Pepperdine Waves | 18c | 159.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Oregon State Beavers | 63c | 159.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.68 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Oregon State Beavers | 70c | 145$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Oregon State Beavers | 70c | 125.96$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.24 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Pepperdine Waves | 45c | 118.15$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.71 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Oregon State Beavers | 79c | 116.52$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Oregon State Beavers | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Oregon State Beavers | 78c | 95.12$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.93 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Oregon State Beavers | 71c | 93.92$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.85 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Pepperdine Waves | 18c | 91.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Oregon State Beavers | 66c | 90.49$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee3e…4116backed Pepperdine Waves | 53c | 56.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Oregon State Beavers | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked Oregon State Beavers | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Oregon State Beavers | 56c | 42.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 139 | 56.8%79 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…453dbacked Oregon State Beavers | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Pepperdine Waves | 36c | 35.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Oregon State Beavers | 62c | 33.54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Oregon State Beavers | 79c | 32.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…af90backed Oregon State Beavers | 74c | 29.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Oregon State Beavers | 79c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f3…c5c2backed Oregon State Beavers | 80c | 16.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 71 | 76.1%54 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91f5…ce27backed Oregon State Beavers | 79c | 12.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.66 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.