CS2 · resolved market
IEM Dallas: Falcons vs. GamerLegion
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe508d8b2f93a4685c4ce892e23af130570d373b6bf71c43e49d4952a3ab4aef4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Falconsof Falcons, GamerLegion
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,056
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,445
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,056 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked GamerLegion | 14c | 19,710$2,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,671.59 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed GamerLegion | 12c | 4,382$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.01 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…61bcbacked GamerLegion | 4c | 3,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 142 | 39.4%56 W · 86 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked GamerLegion | 16c | 3,000$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.43 | 160 | 33.8%54 W · 106 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed GamerLegion | 11c | 2,116$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.97 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf516…901abacked GamerLegion | 14c | 1,740$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed GamerLegion | 30c | 1,613$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.98 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed GamerLegion | 13c | 1,523$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed GamerLegion | 27c | 1,489$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed GamerLegion | 10c | 1,211$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.81 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29db…ae12backed GamerLegion | 10c | 836.65$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.67 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed GamerLegion | 13c | 536.43$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.74 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed GamerLegion | 14c | 504.92$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.63 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c590backed GamerLegion | 9c | 417.59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.94 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…1a96backed GamerLegion | 14c | 406.86$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f7…3a4fbacked GamerLegion | 4c | 306.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 4cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked GamerLegion | 15c | 250$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed GamerLegion | 17c | 235.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked GamerLegion | 9c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7679…8c3abacked GamerLegion | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c2…f864backed GamerLegion | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked GamerLegion | 15c | 154.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8761…7936backed GamerLegion | 16c | 130$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed GamerLegion | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4409…bc0bbacked GamerLegion | 13c | 99.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked GamerLegion | 11c | 99.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…825bbacked GamerLegion | 15c | 94.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0270…1a44backed GamerLegion | 28c | 90.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -62%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed GamerLegion | 15c | 83.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb54…6e4bbacked Falcons | 72c | 80$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 64cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaae…ee3cbacked GamerLegion | 20c | 68.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x063b…7d47backed Falcons | 73c | 67.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c8…f919backed GamerLegion | 29c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…cd12backed Falcons | 79c | 34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db4…d97fbacked Falcons | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.