Asian League · resolved market
Abha Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe50a521002c129ac57c6b0390ec82abd5d7a57cd02b6b6d27c0aa5ba5ea0cadc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,166
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,217
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,166 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8762…0d85backed Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.93 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 49c | 1,378$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.78 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 49c | 1,173$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.47 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x712e…0485backed Under | 51c | 1,135$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.02 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 79c | 1,096$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.2 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 73c | 860.52$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.08 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 69c | 485.32$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.35 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 21c | 479.2$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.63 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadd8…53c9backed Under | 53c | 200.04$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.02 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 48c | 192.82$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.52 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd806…5131backed Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 52c | 131$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.12 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf98…0924backed Under | 38c | 104.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +40%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…fb15backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…2afcbacked Under | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 55c | 98$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Over | 47c | 83.88$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.46 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f03…8a0dbacked Under | 51c | 79.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.31 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 73.27$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.84 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 35c | 51.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 66c | 33.69$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 60c | 28.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 48c | 28.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 78c | 25.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 52c | 23.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Over | 49c | 23.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Over | 49c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 193 | 54.4%105 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked Over | 49c | 22.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Over | 49c | 21.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed Over | 63c | 20.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f2…131dbacked Under | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…84bcbacked Over | 78c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Abha Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 2.5this page
- Abha Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Abha Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Abha Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Abha Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Abha Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Abha Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Hazem SC (-1.5)Abha Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Hazem SC (-2.5)Abha Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.