CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs megoshort - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe515f5d8fec4b8e372f9bd19a555f5075d240e74220f568387b073964d96a60c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- megoshortof ex-MANA eSports, megoshort
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,197
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,327
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,197 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1186…0355backed megoshort | 21c | 1,010$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.43 | 233 | 56.2%131 W · 102 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ex-MANA eSports | 67c | 624.17$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.39 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf2…2ce6backed megoshort | 38c | 480.75$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.77 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ex-MANA eSports | 62c | 360.07$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.75 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked ex-MANA eSports | 36c | 253.39$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.85 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed megoshort | 51c | 250.08$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.29 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ex-MANA eSports | 44c | 178$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.3 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked megoshort | 27c | 172.31$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.74 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcecf…e84fbacked megoshort | 33c | 157.58$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.58 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked ex-MANA eSports | 43c | 155.59$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.35 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked ex-MANA eSports | 54c | 153.79$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.69 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf186…03a9backed megoshort | 9c | 150$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.5 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ex-MANA eSports | 71c | 141.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.35 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed ex-MANA eSports | 34c | 114$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked ex-MANA eSports | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.2 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed ex-MANA eSports | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25ef…b2ddbacked megoshort | 15c | 91.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.61 | 45 | 71.1%32 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +32%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed megoshort | 55c | 86.38$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.87 | 301 | 55.8%168 W · 133 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b26…8c32backed megoshort | 34c | 85.59$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.59 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed ex-MANA eSports | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked megoshort | 63c | 63.27$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed megoshort | 34c | 62.97$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.56 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed megoshort | 33c | 59.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.7 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…ceecbacked megoshort | 33c | 59.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.7 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked ex-MANA eSports | 46c | 49.54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed megoshort | 35c | 49.12$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.03 | 622 | 48.2%300 W · 322 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked ex-MANA eSports | 33c | 47.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed ex-MANA eSports | 75c | 38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked ex-MANA eSports | 37c | 38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 380 | 32.1%122 W · 258 L | -18.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed megoshort | 61c | 36.89$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef30…e949backed ex-MANA eSports | 56c | 35.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked ex-MANA eSports | 40c | 32.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked ex-MANA eSports | 74c | 31.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed ex-MANA eSports | 49c | 21.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed megoshort | 69c | 17.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 190 | 35.8%68 W · 122 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs megoshort - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs megoshort (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Group Bmegoshort won
- Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs megoshort - Map 2 Winnermegoshort won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.