CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs megoshort (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e0300838296ea5c74115b85995c11547989db7f590cbf9a63a9e2c10418f095
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- megoshortof ex-MANA eSports, megoshort
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,572
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,606
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,572 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked megoshort | 30c | 12,000$3,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,449.36 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ex-MANA eSports | 73c | 8,069$5,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,868.93 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ex-MANA eSports | 72c | 4,828$3,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,468.57 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-MANA eSports | 70c | 3,704$2,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,579.22 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa28a…01c5backed megoshort | 40c | 2,653$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598.96 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44ea…7668backed megoshort | 30c | 2,307$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.68 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +7.8wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed megoshort | 28c | 2,210$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,596.89 | 336 | 27.7%93 W · 243 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed ex-MANA eSports | 73c | 1,841$1,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.38 | 465 | 55.1%256 W · 209 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed megoshort | 28c | 1,402$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.51 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed megoshort | 68c | 1,120$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.42 | 211 | 59.7%126 W · 85 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d0…7bbfbacked ex-MANA eSports | 48c | 998.93$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.28 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf2…2ce6backed megoshort | 40c | 919.68$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.54 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed ex-MANA eSports | 67c | 858.9$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.11 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed ex-MANA eSports | 54c | 843$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.95 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ex-MANA eSports | 8c | 826.85$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.19 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed ex-MANA eSports | 74c | 810.81$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed ex-MANA eSports | 70c | 768.73$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.61 | 405 | 42%170 W · 235 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked ex-MANA eSports | 38c | 740.25$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.44 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…9077backed megoshort | 26c | 717$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.58 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed ex-MANA eSports | 72c | 704.23$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.05 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked ex-MANA eSports | 51c | 696.6$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.41 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed ex-MANA eSports | 74c | 665.09$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.98 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…c760backed megoshort | 26c | 603.85$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.85 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed megoshort | 27c | 493.23$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.97 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed ex-MANA eSports | 55c | 491.72$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.59 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…e928backed megoshort | 30c | 488.41$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.35 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +8.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed megoshort | 30c | 473.93$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.23 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed ex-MANA eSports | 73c | 464.08$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.31 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked ex-MANA eSports | 55c | 460.99$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.98 | 380 | 32.1%122 W · 258 L | -18.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked megoshort | 28c | 447.84$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.51 | 359 | 47.9%172 W · 187 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedc3…f923backed megoshort | 26c | 420.77$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.37 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked megoshort | 26c | 412.16$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.6 | 341 | 40.8%139 W · 202 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…4e6abacked ex-MANA eSports | 69c | 400$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 265 | 54.3%144 W · 121 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed megoshort | 23c | 400$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 392 | 45.9%180 W · 212 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac33…fda0backed ex-MANA eSports | 38c | 392.44$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7797…7ddcbacked megoshort | 27c | 347$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.31 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +32%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed ex-MANA eSports | 68c | 316.41$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.98 | 883 | 30.7%271 W · 612 L | -63.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed ex-MANA eSports | 57c | 316$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.18 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcecf…e84fbacked megoshort | 27c | 314.81$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.81 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…0566backed megoshort | 44c | 304.5$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.5 | 96 | 62.5%60 W · 36 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed ex-MANA eSports | 74c | 300$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed ex-MANA eSports | 65c | 298.88$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.14 | 135 | 37%50 W · 85 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked megoshort | 34c | 292.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed ex-MANA eSports | 71c | 266$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.6 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked ex-MANA eSports | 67c | 259$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.53 | 232 | 44.8%104 W · 128 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked ex-MANA eSports | 45c | 255.85$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.52 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked megoshort | 27c | 254.16$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.93 | 758 | 33.4%253 W · 505 L | -48.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked megoshort | 35c | 228.71$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.71 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked ex-MANA eSports | 67c | 228$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.73 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked ex-MANA eSports | 56c | 211.71$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.57 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed ex-MANA eSports | 54c | 199.78$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.58 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed megoshort | 57c | 196.65$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.56 | 301 | 55.8%168 W · 133 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed megoshort | 26c | 186.48$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 107 | 31.8%34 W · 73 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked megoshort | 57c | 186.31$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.67 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…3bcdbacked megoshort | 27c | 184.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.04 | 351 | 31.1%109 W · 242 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked megoshort | 28c | 179.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.88 | 482 | 42.1%203 W · 279 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed megoshort | 26c | 161$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.14 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed ex-MANA eSports | 35c | 159.34$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.4 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed megoshort | 27c | 154.02$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.43 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed ex-MANA eSports | 53c | 152.8$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.09 | 622 | 48.2%300 W · 322 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4a…c078backed ex-MANA eSports | 67c | 150$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 122 | 71.3%87 W · 35 L | +18.5wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked ex-MANA eSports | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0c…5ad0backed ex-MANA eSports | 27c | 149.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed ex-MANA eSports | 64c | 147$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.09 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed megoshort | 55c | 138.82$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.22 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e88…76c6backed ex-MANA eSports | 10c | 134.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed megoshort | 26c | 133.8$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.01 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked megoshort | 64c | 129$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.44 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…2224backed ex-MANA eSports | 75c | 126.32$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.74 | 225 | 67.1%151 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed ex-MANA eSports | 11c | 125$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked megoshort | 61c | 124.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.61 | 655 | 48.9%320 W · 335 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked ex-MANA eSports | 69c | 124$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.6 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed ex-MANA eSports | 73c | 117.32$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.88 | 418 | 53.6%224 W · 194 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed megoshort | 34c | 104.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.32 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c10…30f1backed megoshort | 72c | 102.54$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b7…c557backed megoshort | 26c | 96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.04 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked megoshort | 28c | 91.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.54 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked ex-MANA eSports | 62c | 90.59$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbac…6b32backed megoshort | 30c | 89.04$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.52 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed ex-MANA eSports | 65c | 88.44$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.77 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed ex-MANA eSports | 61c | 87.91$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 368 | 56.8%209 W · 159 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed ex-MANA eSports | 51c | 83.56$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.01 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed ex-MANA eSports | 27c | 74.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 686 | 59.5%408 W · 278 L | +65.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked ex-MANA eSports | 52c | 73.53$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.24 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked ex-MANA eSports | 61c | 68$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.78 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf15e…80b5backed megoshort | 29c | 67.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.71 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc269…7841backed megoshort | 26c | 67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.58 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -11.4wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xabe6…2faebacked megoshort | 22c | 63.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.71 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed megoshort | 44c | 63.26$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.26 | 190 | 35.8%68 W · 122 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed megoshort | 26c | 60.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.92 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…55c0backed megoshort | 32c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed ex-MANA eSports | 72c | 59.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.03 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | -17.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked ex-MANA eSports | 73c | 57.23$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.62 | 140 | 68.6%96 W · 44 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed ex-MANA eSports | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 838 | 56.1%470 W · 368 L | +31.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed ex-MANA eSports | 22c | 55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…8ef6backed ex-MANA eSports | 67c | 52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.84 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed ex-MANA eSports | 69c | 51.93$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.76 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ac…2fb7backed ex-MANA eSports | 65c | 50.01$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed megoshort | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 677 | 50.2%340 W · 337 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked megoshort | 65c | 49.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 723 | 53.5%387 W · 336 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs megoshort (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Group Bthis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs megoshort - Map 1 Winnermegoshort won
- Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs megoshort - Map 2 Winnermegoshort won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.