CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Isurus (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5593860c6c307fde2dec0a7a51c5746403e749800d81d0b27187b04adef7b5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Keydof Keyd, Isurus
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,233
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,540
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,233 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa113…284ebacked Isurus | 43c | 1,331$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.79 | 209 | 35.4%74 W · 135 L | -21.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Keyd | 54c | 1,121$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.45 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51c…5bbcbacked Isurus | 38c | 934$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.36 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Keyd | 62c | 600$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Isurus | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Keyd | 54c | 332.33$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.87 | 489 | 39.7%194 W · 295 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Isurus | 46c | 328.31$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.02 | 1,020 | 52.2%532 W · 488 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…2748backed Keyd | 64c | 319.85$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.07 | 161 | 55.9%90 W · 71 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Isurus | 36c | 291.85$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.38 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5410…dcc7backed Isurus | 36c | 279.38$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.58 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a59…e605backed Isurus | 47c | 270$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.9 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed Keyd | 61c | 222.15$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.77 | 873 | 51.2%447 W · 426 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3115…550ebacked Keyd | 53c | 203.5$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a8…5434backed Isurus | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Keyd | 70c | 188.23$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.01 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Keyd | 67c | 186.35$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.01 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed Isurus | 16c | 173.39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.27 | 395 | 40.3%159 W · 236 L | +29.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5867…2e20backed Keyd | 70c | 145$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 216 | 36.1%78 W · 138 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Keyd | 71c | 137.81$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.62 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f56…b78ebacked Isurus | 47c | 137.45$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.6 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x476e…cfb9backed Keyd | 56c | 122$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.68 | 197 | 62.9%124 W · 73 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee1…377abacked Isurus | 45c | 120.2$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.89 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Keyd | 63c | 120$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aae…0da3backed Isurus | 45c | 120$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 142 | 55.6%79 W · 63 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…c3b4backed Keyd | 67c | 112.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.06 | 339 | 50.7%172 W · 167 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb441…f757backed Isurus | 47c | 110$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 187 | 54%101 W · 86 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Keyd | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8772…982dbacked Keyd | 65c | 92.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.36 | 137 | 53.3%73 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09c4…9b44backed Keyd | 54c | 85.12$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 70cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…fd36backed Keyd | 53c | 69.15$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 402 | 55.2%222 W · 180 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1654…64b9backed Isurus | 19c | 55.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Keyd | 51c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Isurus | 26c | 52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f28…5f56backed Isurus | 33c | 51.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ec…23bdbacked Isurus | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf01f…e8fbbacked Keyd | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Isurus | 33c | 47.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…1792backed Isurus | 47c | 46.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 148 | 39.9%59 W · 89 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ea…40b0backed Keyd | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Keyd | 51c | 30.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8416…4cfcbacked Isurus | 42c | 29.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5772…023ebacked Keyd | 69c | 28.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Keyd | 71c | 28.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…0ecdbacked Keyd | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 329 | 56.8%187 W · 142 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62c5…bf75backed Keyd | 62c | 27.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2b…70efbacked Keyd | 56c | 27.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 125 | 64.8%81 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e3…8c11backed Isurus | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8c…20e4backed Keyd | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff87…f5f7backed Keyd | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Keyd | 64c | 22.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 681 | 47%320 W · 361 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0550…39e0backed Isurus | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5046…a07ebacked Keyd | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 70 | 74.3%52 W · 18 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Isurus (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Isurus - Map 1 WinnerKeyd won
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Isurus - Map 2 WinnerIsurus won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.