TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Madrid Open: Elise Mertens vs Alexandra Eala

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Elise Mertensof Elise Mertens, Alexandra Eala
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$110,150
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$133,130

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,150 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xba81…dc35backed Alexandra Eala16c18,187$2,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,964.3222242.8%95 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3df…82fabacked Alexandra Eala10c13,043$1,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,251.827846%128 W · 150 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Elise Mertens71c3,460$2,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.366041.7%25 W · 35 L-8.2wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-29.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Alexandra Eala6c1,784$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.3966139.3%260 W · 401 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Elise Mertens69c1,707$1,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.2759348.9%290 W · 303 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Alexandra Eala10c1,609$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.387,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb392…99a8backed Alexandra Eala32c1,526$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.561457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0889…123abacked Alexandra Eala1c1,283$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Alexandra Eala17c1,149$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.328,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafe6…8192backed Alexandra Eala31c1,065$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.1524840.7%101 W · 147 L+11.6wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Alexandra Eala29c1,034$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30097141.4%402 W · 569 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Elise Mertens68c1,008$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.6497745.2%442 W · 535 L-0.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2efa…8a01backed Alexandra Eala29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2907443.2%32 W · 42 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x130b…a733backed Elise Mertens68c1,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+41.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Alexandra Eala30c999.99$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,02646.8%480 W · 546 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed Elise Mertens67c980.2$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.4741060.5%248 W · 162 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Alexandra Eala28c906.98$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.056,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Alexandra Eala15c820.96$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.4838013.9%53 W · 327 L-38.3wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-55.2%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Elise Mertens70c752.36$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.715158.8%30 W · 21 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+25%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Alexandra Eala31c639.06$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.111,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Alexandra Eala13c615.03$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.055,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked Alexandra Eala31c603.92$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.2129444.2%130 W · 164 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Alexandra Eala32c599.94$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.8423429.9%70 W · 164 L-1.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Alexandra Eala29c525.42$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.372,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8772…7782backed Elise Mertens69c516.66$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.162100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+151%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Alexandra Eala29c500$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14522449.6%111 W · 113 L+17.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9cd1…285dbacked Elise Mertens69c372.93$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.61955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed19…83babacked Alexandra Eala3c368.28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5484736%305 W · 542 L-35.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fae…0d19backed Alexandra Eala31c350$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.542839.7%170 W · 258 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Alexandra Eala13c321.87$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.863,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Alexandra Eala29c300$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871,67948.1%808 W · 871 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Alexandra Eala29c300$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871,72948.9%845 W · 884 L+53.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Elise Mertens78c251.7$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.260355.4%334 W · 269 L+19.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d29…f683backed Elise Mertens70c204.34$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.3233647.3%159 W · 177 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alexandra Eala14c192.95$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.247,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Alexandra Eala9c187.66$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.352,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Alexandra Eala16c169.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.395742.1%403 W · 554 L-24.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x859d…b336backed Elise Mertens76c156.66$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.610355.3%57 W · 46 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Alexandra Eala11c149.68$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8732031.3%100 W · 220 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Alexandra Eala14c146.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.451,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x794c…fa17backed Elise Mertens70c140.29$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.0915070%105 W · 45 L+0.6wins0.00per pick70cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e4a…f43dbacked Alexandra Eala17c112.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5413033.8%44 W · 86 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa373…b6dcbacked Alexandra Eala30c111.77$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5354348.1%261 W · 282 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Elise Mertens68c110.42$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3514744.9%66 W · 81 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Elise Mertens69c102.79$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.871,17451.9%609 W · 565 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3a8…cbeabacked Elise Mertens70c100.88$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.268263.4%52 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2127…37f2backed Elise Mertens70c99.96$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9924055%132 W · 108 L-15.2wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Elise Mertens75c93.14$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0479951.1%408 W · 391 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe27…82e6backed Alexandra Eala32c89.93$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.784254.8%23 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f98…ca11backed Alexandra Eala14c82.64$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.261050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Elise Mertens75c81.67$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.11,35443.9%595 W · 759 L-62.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf182…112bbacked Alexandra Eala30c73.96$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1930150.2%151 W · 150 L-15.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked Alexandra Eala18c73.88$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4755243.3%239 W · 313 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Elise Mertens69c71.12$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0563052.4%330 W · 300 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa6…d3c2backed Elise Mertens70c70.14$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0446562.6%291 W · 174 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Alexandra Eala29c65.29$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9358232%186 W · 396 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2fe…09c9backed Elise Mertens73c57$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5122049.5%109 W · 111 L-8.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9158…ba55backed Elise Mertens69c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.525745.9%118 W · 139 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa589…96fcbacked Elise Mertens69c49.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.55945.8%27 W · 32 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Elise Mertens69c49.34$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.33,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a2f…b4b4backed Alexandra Eala25c47$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.524839.6%19 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe361…bf48backed Alexandra Eala25c45.84$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4624931.3%78 W · 171 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2db8…e042backed Elise Mertens71c45.67$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2474961.8%463 W · 286 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Alexandra Eala29c45.35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1534242.4%145 W · 197 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed Elise Mertens69c42.67$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2331463.1%198 W · 116 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed Elise Mertens71c42.66$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3775262%466 W · 286 L+25.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb20…bea0backed Alexandra Eala24c42.55$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2114132.6%46 W · 95 L-12.5wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-25.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb821…5cddbacked Elise Mertens71c42.4$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.336464.3%234 W · 130 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-1.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked Alexandra Eala29c41.29$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.971,00145.4%454 W · 547 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Alexandra Eala31c40.91$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.682,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Elise Mertens70c39.89$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7710063%63 W · 37 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d13…b939backed Elise Mertens71c34.6$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0310069%69 W · 31 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe36…9413backed Elise Mertens74c30.96$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1131358.5%183 W · 130 L-0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5413…3853backed Elise Mertens71c27.68$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.03250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2dc…607abacked Elise Mertens71c27.68$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.03333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick70cpaid-53.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Elise Mertens69c24.67$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6536244.8%162 W · 200 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x876d…1327backed Elise Mertens69c20.55$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.374261.9%26 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x32b5…b692backed Elise Mertens69c18.49$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.739639.6%38 W · 58 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa41…2239backed Elise Mertens67c17.58$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.815751%80 W · 77 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x47cc…6aa7backed Elise Mertens69c14.93$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.632157.1%12 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick72cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.