Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Twente '65 win on 2026-01-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5a5f887c3d2c77e1cb4efdb30cf8d52d6a8d3f5cea8fa710684af8eee810f06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,611
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,434
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,611 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 36c | 5,348$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920.39 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 18c | 5,336$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.91 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87c0…6660backed No | 0c | 3,582$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 79c | 2,212$1,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.19 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 20c | 1,308$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.97 | 134 | 32.1%43 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 65c | 999.99$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 64c | 630$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.8 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 63c | 540.78$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked No | 22c | 509.75$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.06 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed No | 35c | 499.96$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.98 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked No | 9c | 423.89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.69 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 37c | 403.95$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.02 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3c…615dbacked Yes | 66c | 393.5$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.82 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 65c | 363$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.74 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed No | 37c | 349.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb90…8dd8backed No | 7c | 340$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 26cpaid | -84.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked Yes | 78c | 296.1$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.49 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 75c | 287.61$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.56 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…9e01backed Yes | 65c | 287.51$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.63 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2b…37e2backed Yes | 65c | 205.45$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 5c | 199.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 22c | 166.86$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.23 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 64c | 151.56$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.56 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 13c | 147.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…315bbacked Yes | 65c | 123.08$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 76c | 121.61$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.19 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 39c | 120$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43b1…d120backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 65c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 240 | 30.4%73 W · 167 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cff…83c4backed Yes | 66c | 62.81$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 62c | 56.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked No | 22c | 52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 216 | 44.4%96 W · 120 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Yes | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x866f…3d52backed No | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…a319backed No | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 36c | 48.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 77c | 43.52$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 36c | 39.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 64c | 37.72$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 143 | 60.8%87 W · 56 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Yes | 65c | 35.77$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 38c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed No | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Yes | 64c | 26.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…8528backed Yes | 64c | 24.73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes | 76c | 21.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 64c | 20.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad1b…5da0backed Yes | 65c | 16.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Yes | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 69 | 71%49 W · 20 L | +10.6wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Twente '65 win on 2026-01-18?this page
- Will Heracles Almelo vs. FC Twente '65 end in a draw?No won
- Will Heracles Almelo win on 2026-01-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.