Lol · resolved market
LoL: Frites Esports Club vs The Bandits - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5d55d2643dd11963b20e0f78cd57314788812812902caa2ce4313502c958b7a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Frites Esports Clubof Frites Esports Club, The Bandits
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,296
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,265
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,296 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8725…eb10backed The Bandits | 21c | 3,422$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.7 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Frites Esports Club | 79c | 3,108$2,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.72 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7673…fa40backed The Bandits | 17c | 1,465$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed The Bandits | 17c | 888.06$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.32 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed The Bandits | 17c | 368.94$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.72 | 438 | 39.7%174 W · 264 L | -24.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed The Bandits | 17c | 328.5$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.72 | 313 | 37.7%118 W · 195 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked The Bandits | 12c | 294.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed The Bandits | 22c | 218.37$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.04 | 304 | 41.8%127 W · 177 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed The Bandits | 17c | 186$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 164 | 52.4%86 W · 78 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed The Bandits | 20c | 166$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.84 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…cefdbacked Frites Esports Club | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked The Bandits | 17c | 134.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 584 | 20.2%118 W · 466 L | -58.1wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -43%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Frites Esports Club | 79c | 120.46$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52a6…ab62backed The Bandits | 17c | 94.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 138 | 31.2%43 W · 95 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed The Bandits | 19c | 86.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed The Bandits | 23c | 85.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed The Bandits | 16c | 79.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c68…570cbacked The Bandits | 17c | 65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Frites Esports Club vs The Bandits - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: FEC (-1.5) vs The Bandits (+1.5)Frites Esports Club won
- LoL: Frites Esports Club vs The Bandits (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular SeasonFrites Esports Club won
- LoL: Frites Esports Club vs The Bandits - Game 2 WinnerFrites Esports Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.