CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TNC vs Lavked - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe66997536dbfdc35dfe3c590dcb442d9d84750e1240435e7c230d01f55cc5753
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TNCof TNC, Lavked
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,584
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,067
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,584 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked TNC | 43c | 9,061$3,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,119.58 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x928a…8044backed Lavked | 53c | 4,798$2,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,564.98 | 203 | 58.6%119 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa80c…5a6dbacked Lavked | 64c | 3,000$1,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,916.29 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked TNC | 46c | 2,329$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.98 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5a…9ed6backed Lavked | 58c | 1,727$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.29 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b21…4b63backed Lavked | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e58…8e90backed Lavked | 53c | 799.99$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Lavked | 54c | 708.18$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.7 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d22…4b50backed Lavked | 54c | 707.99$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.7 | 205 | 54.1%111 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked TNC | 41c | 539.48$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.29 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed TNC | 52c | 505.2$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.39 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed Lavked | 57c | 439.42$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.16 | 454 | 65.9%299 W · 155 L | +20.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Lavked | 54c | 410$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.6 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked TNC | 47c | 403$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.59 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Lavked | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 388 | 35.8%139 W · 249 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed TNC | 53c | 369.22$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.89 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed TNC | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…386fbacked Lavked | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 259 | 44.8%116 W · 143 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked TNC | 46c | 258.91$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.57 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed TNC | 43c | 231.95$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.79 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked TNC | 47c | 218.15$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.39 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed Lavked | 41c | 180$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.9 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15b5…ef23backed TNC | 39c | 178.38$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.85 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Lavked | 39c | 132.41$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.64 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked TNC | 51c | 114.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Lavked | 50c | 109.09$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.55 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f63…89f3backed Lavked | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed TNC | 42c | 66$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.61 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed TNC | 51c | 60.35$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.53 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed TNC | 41c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x809c…ffcabacked TNC | 48c | 56.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9c…5369backed Lavked | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 187 | 58.3%109 W · 78 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…2dbbbacked Lavked | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed TNC | 44c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 133 | 24.8%33 W · 100 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked TNC | 49c | 30.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -8.1wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Lavked | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Lavked | 36c | 27.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…cbaebacked Lavked | 55c | 26.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed TNC | 45c | 24.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked TNC | 61c | 23.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2c…0750backed Lavked | 55c | 20.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: TNC vs Lavked - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: TNC vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group StageTNC won
- Counter-Strike: TNC vs Lavked - Map 1 WinnerTNC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.