CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TNC vs Lavked - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95932ff997a635e2e501209389b858f2501b3d27d15987d6391141e4fcd88e80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TNCof TNC, Lavked
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,012
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,892
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,012 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa80c…5a6dbacked TNC | 58c | 3,612$2,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,527.81 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Lavked | 38c | 2,702$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.58 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x928a…8044backed TNC | 45c | 2,011$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.43 | 203 | 58.6%119 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Lavked | 48c | 1,827$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.49 | 245 | 38.4%94 W · 151 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5a…9ed6backed TNC | 53c | 1,799$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.46 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…0574backed Lavked | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 0%0 W · 62 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked Lavked | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 90 | 20%18 W · 72 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked Lavked | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 79 | 20.3%16 W · 63 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Lavked | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 194 | 3.6%7 W · 187 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Lavked | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 197 | 3.6%7 W · 190 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lavked | 55c | 855.3$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.2 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Lavked | 22c | 667.86$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.42 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Lavked | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Lavked | 32c | 457.14$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 969 | 45.6%442 W · 527 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf981…44b7backed TNC | 52c | 444$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.12 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0e…021ebacked Lavked | 49c | 411.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked TNC | 62c | 397.39$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.22 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Lavked | 46c | 377.8$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.79 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Lavked | 43c | 365$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.14 | 2,393 | 46.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Lavked | 35c | 322.64$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.8 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Lavked | 45c | 319.98$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.29 | 1,489 | 58%863 W · 626 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Lavked | 64c | 319.68$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.17 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Lavked | 33c | 288.85$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.65 | 1,548 | 33.9%524 W · 1,024 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked TNC | 50c | 284.58$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.04 | 229 | 38.4%88 W · 141 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Lavked | 38c | 275.21$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.07 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Lavked | 49c | 263.83$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.46 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Lavked | 33c | 255$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.55 | 193 | 29%56 W · 137 L | -23.4wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4e88…9b64backed Lavked | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Lavked | 36c | 193.91$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.44 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c2…4933backed TNC | 53c | 154.17$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.12 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Lavked | 35c | 143.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.47 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Lavked | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 133 | 24.8%33 W · 100 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lavked | 48c | 113.74$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.05 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Lavked | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.58 | 1,305 | 26.4%345 W · 960 L | -89.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x413d…d704backed TNC | 55c | 91.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.26 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed TNC | 61c | 90.62$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.62 | 299 | 34.4%103 W · 196 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Lavked | 43c | 75.96$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.81 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Lavked | 39c | 71.02$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed TNC | 58c | 69.83$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.65 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9851…1320backed Lavked | 60c | 65.82$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.26 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -11.3wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Lavked | 47c | 61.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 399 | 46.4%185 W · 214 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9c…5369backed Lavked | 45c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 187 | 58.3%109 W · 78 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed TNC | 47c | 48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 368 | 45.9%169 W · 199 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed Lavked | 55c | 43.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lavked | 46c | 41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…2dbbbacked TNC | 40c | 41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked TNC | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 447 | 63.5%284 W · 163 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd00d…83debacked TNC | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Lavked | 73c | 29.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 582 | 54.3%316 W · 266 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Lavked | 53c | 29.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 967 | 43.5%421 W · 546 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked Lavked | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 387 | 53.2%206 W · 181 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Lavked | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 565 | 54.2%306 W · 259 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: TNC vs Lavked - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: TNC vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group StageTNC won
- Counter-Strike: TNC vs Lavked - Map 2 WinnerTNC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.