CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TNC vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23747123a40f6d445af6a0503137b872daea0b4160028acdb7655372fbbe0f6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TNCof TNC, Lavked
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,853
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,729
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,853 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked TNC | 57c | 1,663$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.33 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked TNC | 64c | 1,350$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.41 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdd…e1fdbacked Lavked | 75c | 1,338$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 42 | 76.2%32 W · 10 L | +6.6wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Lavked | 55c | 1,319$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.32 | 1,649 | 46.9%774 W · 875 L | -28.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed TNC | 25c | 1,127$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.03 | 1,594 | 29.7%473 W · 1,121 L | -88.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa960…9407backed Lavked | 46c | 1,100$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed TNC | 29c | 999.98$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.99 | 208 | 42.8%89 W · 119 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0e…021ebacked Lavked | 45c | 923.37$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.81 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Lavked | 50c | 858.4$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.77 | 969 | 45.6%442 W · 527 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Lavked | 47c | 539$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.23 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed TNC | 51c | 509.99$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.99 | 1,489 | 58%863 W · 626 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Lavked | 32c | 477.78$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.84 | 949 | 45.8%435 W · 514 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed TNC | 51c | 406.34$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.36 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…e44ebacked TNC | 31c | 384.53$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.53 | 149 | 39.6%59 W · 90 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed TNC | 36c | 381.83$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.98 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed TNC | 61c | 365.37$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.08 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked TNC | 64c | 357.52$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.07 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed Lavked | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 500 | 43%215 W · 285 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Lavked | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,178 | 54.5%642 W · 536 L | -36.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed TNC | 50c | 271.1$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.47 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Lavked | 50c | 258.92$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.8 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x509b…aec4backed Lavked | 71c | 245.19$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.62 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -5.5wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed TNC | 64c | 243.68$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.66 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Lavked | 37c | 210.94$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.9 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked TNC | 58c | 208.73$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.04 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Lavked | 29c | 200.27$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.65 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -19.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed TNC | 31c | 199.98$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.99 | 2,527 | 43.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L | +42.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x218b…625abacked TNC | 29c | 199.98$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.99 | 231 | 29%67 W · 164 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Lavked | 73c | 178$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.81 | 222 | 53.2%118 W · 104 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked TNC | 54c | 128.94$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.76 | 229 | 38.4%88 W · 141 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Lavked | 44c | 121.25$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 310 | 51.3%159 W · 151 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed TNC | 52c | 120.1$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.73 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf6…c27dbacked Lavked | 32c | 120$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 113 | 41.6%47 W · 66 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Lavked | 71c | 119.82$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 333 | 54.4%181 W · 152 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked Lavked | 72c | 99.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.49 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Lavked | 18c | 97.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Lavked | 49c | 94.48$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.72 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…8d38backed Lavked | 70c | 89.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.95 | 115 | 61.7%71 W · 44 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Lavked | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 815 | 51.7%421 W · 394 L | +26.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked TNC | 59c | 80$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.7 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Lavked | 72c | 77.66$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1,652 | 52.9%874 W · 778 L | +60.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed TNC | 28c | 75.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.54 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed TNC | 74c | 74.08$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Lavked | 43c | 64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 300 | 31.7%95 W · 205 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed TNC | 32c | 62.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed Lavked | 44c | 62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 700 | 32%224 W · 476 L | -45.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…44efbacked TNC | 32c | 61.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.53 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked TNC | 28c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ad…8799backed TNC | 32c | 59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.12 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Lavked | 56c | 57.69$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.27 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Lavked | 69c | 55.71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.44 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked TNC | 49c | 53.8$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…fd63backed Lavked | 59c | 53.46$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.54 | 172 | 57.6%99 W · 73 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Lavked | 24c | 52.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 1,548 | 33.9%524 W · 1,024 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Lavked | 32c | 46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed TNC | 65c | 45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Lavked | 66c | 42$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Lavked | 48c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d9…c572backed Lavked | 49c | 40.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 188 | 51.1%96 W · 92 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…7f9bbacked Lavked | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…0436backed TNC | 58c | 37.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked TNC | 28c | 37.02$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe728…9d87backed TNC | 58c | 36.54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 231 | 50.6%117 W · 114 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Lavked | 64c | 34.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 123 | 68.3%84 W · 39 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2661…6c28backed TNC | 34c | 34.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed TNC | 42c | 33.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed TNC | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…8b20backed Lavked | 69c | 21.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6d…fc98backed Lavked | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked Lavked | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 456 | 63.6%290 W · 166 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…b7c4backed TNC | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: TNC vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: TNC vs Lavked - Map 1 WinnerTNC won
- Counter-Strike: TNC vs Lavked - Map 2 WinnerTNC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.