CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs ReThink (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6b866a0c00bdb3bb15e97797b0d7b61083b24f03b3704cbea4bcca579594616
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- QUAZARof QUAZAR, ReThink
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,957
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,074
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,957 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked QUAZAR | 77c | 1,519$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.01 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked ReThink | 22c | 1,015$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.35 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked ReThink | 25c | 1,015$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 526 | 36.5%192 W · 334 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ReThink | 26c | 585.19$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.94 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ReThink | 23c | 546.16$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.15 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed QUAZAR | 78c | 524.93$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.56 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8248…c0b2backed QUAZAR | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 207 | 50.7%105 W · 102 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed QUAZAR | 78c | 454.99$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.1 | 740 | 54.6%404 W · 336 L | +15.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed QUAZAR | 74c | 351.59$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.88 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed ReThink | 25c | 279.96$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed ReThink | 23c | 238.19$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.39 | 259 | 34%88 W · 171 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked QUAZAR | 73c | 237$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked QUAZAR | 71c | 232.01$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.28 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf709…7697backed ReThink | 26c | 230.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked ReThink | 25c | 201.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed ReThink | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked QUAZAR | 75c | 169.39$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.35 | 395 | 48.6%192 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked ReThink | 21c | 147.34$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed ReThink | 24c | 104.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -8.4wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0c…14cebacked QUAZAR | 79c | 100.91$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed QUAZAR | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked QUAZAR | 77c | 97.4$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 446 | 75.3%336 W · 110 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked QUAZAR | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed QUAZAR | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 284 | 55.6%158 W · 126 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed QUAZAR | 77c | 43.51$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed QUAZAR | 77c | 42.71$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…0813backed QUAZAR | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 200 | 67%134 W · 66 L | +13.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f76…3c44backed QUAZAR | 77c | 39.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked QUAZAR | 74c | 33.54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 305 | 45.9%140 W · 165 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked QUAZAR | 78c | 29.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed QUAZAR | 78c | 26.83$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed QUAZAR | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 677 | 50.2%340 W · 337 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed QUAZAR | 79c | 24.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 380 | 37.4%142 W · 238 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs ReThink (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs ReThink - Map 2 WinnerQUAZAR won
- Map Handicap: QUA (-1.5) vs ReThink (+1.5)QUAZAR won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.