Tennis · resolved market
Morelia: Marc Polmans vs Facundo Mena
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6cc3ba04f63766b557cec79f08246913c18706de406708eeb79df82b6371683
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marc Polmansof Marc Polmans, Facundo Mena
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,677
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,677 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x027f…472abacked Marc Polmans | 60c | 4,183$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,684.44 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Marc Polmans | 69c | 1,579$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.84 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Marc Polmans | 68c | 1,422$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.13 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Marc Polmans | 43c | 1,360$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.05 | 244 | 38.9%95 W · 149 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Facundo Mena | 59c | 1,300$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.25 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Facundo Mena | 40c | 1,175$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.25 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Facundo Mena | 58c | 1,148$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.88 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Facundo Mena | 60c | 1,001$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.29 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Marc Polmans | 39c | 820.51$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.51 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Facundo Mena | 38c | 518.73$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 242 | 29.8%72 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Facundo Mena | 42c | 494.63$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.36 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Facundo Mena | 48c | 444$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.58 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Marc Polmans | 41c | 407.85$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.34 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Marc Polmans | 53c | 394.41$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.32 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Marc Polmans | 41c | 382.8$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.74 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Marc Polmans | 40c | 376.42$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.41 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Marc Polmans | 36c | 349.54$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.71 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Facundo Mena | 59c | 312$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.35 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Facundo Mena | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Facundo Mena | 59c | 280.64$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.61 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71a…f135backed Marc Polmans | 42c | 256.45$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.74 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed Facundo Mena | 53c | 213.49$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Facundo Mena | 30c | 211.57$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.77 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…ae45backed Facundo Mena | 43c | 205$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.65 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b3…7650backed Marc Polmans | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 215 | 60.5%130 W · 85 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Marc Polmans | 52c | 180.01$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.9 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Facundo Mena | 61c | 163.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.01 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x423c…25d5backed Facundo Mena | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 103 | 17.5%18 W · 85 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Marc Polmans | 41c | 152$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.51 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…bbeebacked Facundo Mena | 59c | 149.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.49 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Marc Polmans | 54c | 133.39$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.79 | 444 | 48.9%217 W · 227 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Facundo Mena | 41c | 132.43$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.3 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Marc Polmans | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 770 | 47.9%369 W · 401 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Marc Polmans | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Marc Polmans | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 468 | 48.5%227 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…5403backed Marc Polmans | 72c | 99.86$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.96 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Facundo Mena | 33c | 93.88$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…7ed7backed Marc Polmans | 68c | 88.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6196…1a64backed Facundo Mena | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 169 | 57.4%97 W · 72 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Marc Polmans | 70c | 80.53$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 349 | 50.4%176 W · 173 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Facundo Mena | 59c | 76.67$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.27 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Marc Polmans | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Marc Polmans | 76c | 71.28$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Facundo Mena | 51c | 68.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 958 | 46.6%446 W · 512 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Marc Polmans | 38c | 65.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.26 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Facundo Mena | 27c | 65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Marc Polmans | 40c | 62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 228 | 47.4%108 W · 120 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Marc Polmans | 40c | 62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Marc Polmans | 37c | 52.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.78 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Marc Polmans | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 882 | 73.5%648 W · 234 L | +19.8wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf16…9c6fbacked Facundo Mena | 63c | 45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff1…4766backed Marc Polmans | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 167 | 62.3%104 W · 63 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Marc Polmans | 37c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 474 | 53.2%252 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed Marc Polmans | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 242 | 44.6%108 W · 134 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6e…bd37backed Facundo Mena | 39c | 38.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd51…ce69backed Marc Polmans | 49c | 37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 371 | 56.3%209 W · 162 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b5…7276backed Facundo Mena | 57c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 271 | 47.2%128 W · 143 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Facundo Mena | 55c | 34.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Marc Polmans | 44c | 33.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked Marc Polmans | 56c | 33.51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 163 | 69.3%113 W · 50 L | +16.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Marc Polmans | 51c | 30.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 384 | 60.4%232 W · 152 L | +29.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x686c…3208backed Marc Polmans | 45c | 28.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…f943backed Facundo Mena | 43c | 27.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Facundo Mena | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Facundo Mena | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 524 | 57.4%301 W · 223 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Marc Polmans | 44c | 24.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x955f…2e25backed Marc Polmans | 47c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6af…532dbacked Marc Polmans | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…224cbacked Marc Polmans | 56c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.