Tennis · resolved market
ITF Granby: Kayla Cross vs Rebecca Marino
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7768996229dc4572809c35223ccf437c6147f6ca4176b8a831453b91ed0f8ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kayla Crossof Kayla Cross, Rebecca Marino
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,374
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,521
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,374 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc93…718bbacked Rebecca Marino | 2c | 5,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…474ebacked Rebecca Marino | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 180 | 38.3%69 W · 111 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Rebecca Marino | 63c | 879.15$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.76 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Rebecca Marino | 66c | 874.87$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.27 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Rebecca Marino | 57c | 551.38$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.59 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kayla Cross | 31c | 535$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.2 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Kayla Cross | 47c | 255.74$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.36 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Kayla Cross | 43c | 255.07$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.49 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Kayla Cross | 43c | 251.72$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.65 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Kayla Cross | 43c | 202.23$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.37 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff1…4766backed Kayla Cross | 29c | 200.45$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.32 | 167 | 62.3%104 W · 63 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Rebecca Marino | 71c | 200$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Rebecca Marino | 60c | 159.54$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 429 | 30.5%131 W · 298 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Kayla Cross | 34c | 154.86$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.86 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Kayla Cross | 35c | 145.71$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.71 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Kayla Cross | 35c | 128.57$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.57 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Kayla Cross | 35c | 122.86$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.86 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Kayla Cross | 30c | 110$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Kayla Cross | 50c | 100.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.52 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Kayla Cross | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 449 | 52.8%237 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Rebecca Marino | 46c | 63.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Rebecca Marino | 58c | 49.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Rebecca Marino | 41c | 48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Rebecca Marino | 43c | 46.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 261 | 31.4%82 W · 179 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…c85cbacked Rebecca Marino | 54c | 36.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Kayla Cross | 52c | 25.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Rebecca Marino | 52c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Rebecca Marino | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Rebecca Marino | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.