South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-05-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7ea2bf7d0563afd1d04cc6d609566d7b333f2e42aa872fca5d660a66c08ca3c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,526
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,134
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,526 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 28c | 12,150$3,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,457.51 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 68c | 10,531$7,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,375.24 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 7,413$5,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,082.18 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Yes | 32c | 6,290$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes | 31c | 3,188$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.5 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed No | 67c | 1,285$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.11 | 40 | 75%30 W · 10 L | +8.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 66c | 1,086$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.71 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 66c | 938.05$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.87 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 66c | 454.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.54 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 69c | 430.69$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.45 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 29c | 351$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.25 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a94…a3bebacked Yes | 33c | 337.61$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.41 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 36c | 299.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 66c | 238.07$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.94 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes | 34c | 236.74$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.49 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Yes | 21c | 230$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb97…7ae1backed Yes | 24c | 194.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc056…e188backed Yes | 31c | 177.42$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Yes | 27c | 158.41$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.72 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 27c | 150.6$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.17 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 67c | 149.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 14c | 147.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7053…25e4backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…8066backed Yes | 36c | 138.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 75c | 123.31$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.97 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 65c | 109.32$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.17 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 36c | 99.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 22c | 99.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 67c | 97.06$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.59 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 33c | 91.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked Yes | 33c | 88.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.63 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 71c | 83.38$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 68c | 82.63$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 31c | 79.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…8314backed No | 67c | 78.51$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Yes | 32c | 77.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a77…8b53backed No | 71c | 75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 67c | 74.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.71 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 32c | 67.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 108 | 26.9%29 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 68c | 65.61$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…4a78backed Yes | 31c | 65.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked No | 72c | 65$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcb…207cbacked No | 72c | 62.36$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x504b…b939backed No | 69c | 61.23$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.28 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed No | 70c | 55.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…4e86backed No | 70c | 51$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 71c | 49.06$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3b…380cbacked No | 72c | 45.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed No | 71c | 41.68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 73c | 40.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 192 | 64.1%123 W · 69 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed No | 75c | 38.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34a3…3ba1backed Yes | 36c | 33.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d77…475bbacked Yes | 32c | 32.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 70c | 28.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 197 | 61.9%122 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…ba99backed No | 71c | 27.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1c…2bf2backed No | 71c | 27.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 67c | 22.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 66c | 20.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 66c | 20.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 290 | 53.8%156 W · 134 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 66c | 19.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked No | 73c | 17.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e8…c0e2backed No | 70c | 17.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…ac63backed No | 76c | 15.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.81 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed No | 67c | 15.45$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 105 | 64.8%68 W · 37 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-05-05?this page
- Will CD Cuenca vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CD Cuenca win on 2026-05-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.