South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CD Cuenca vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ed57f4ead7580ff25d7bb989267efe43d23599c4796416c1d977932c57f89b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,938
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,774
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,938 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 54c | 1,792$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.54 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 43c | 1,419$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.72 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 70c | 1,232$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.17 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 36c | 927.71$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.79 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 65c | 801.34$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.44 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19e9…239bbacked Yes | 33c | 612.75$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.75 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 32c | 582.74$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.42 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 25c | 571.65$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.65 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 68c | 399.48$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.65 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 67c | 391.99$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.63 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 11c | 340.77$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.09 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 33c | 278.7$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.73 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 36c | 203.81$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.77 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed1d…6fd3backed No | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d75…1af0backed No | 30c | 199.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Yes | 57c | 175.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.84 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 68c | 170$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.6 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 34c | 167.79$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.41 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…ad9bbacked Yes | 72c | 151.53$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed No | 67c | 149.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.49 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 27c | 142.89$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.42 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed No | 22c | 140.11$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed No | 67c | 137.45$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.09 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 35c | 127.97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.11 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 77c | 107.04$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 68c | 101.01$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.69 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 68c | 93.74$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.74 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 32c | 92.78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 75c | 86.85$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.79 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 31c | 82.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 13c | 78.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked Yes | 77c | 76.64$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked No | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yes | 31c | 73.53$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.74 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf5…52adbacked Yes | 32c | 69$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 73c | 68.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbc…f670backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d62…49c5backed No | 47c | 51.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3be…c163backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed No | 28c | 49.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 71c | 48.9$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 71c | 48.9$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked Yes | 71c | 48.9$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 67c | 45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff66…39cfbacked No | 31c | 42.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…9db1backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 50c | 29.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed Yes | 70c | 28.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…1786backed No | 48c | 22.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked Yes | 66c | 18.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…8314backed No | 66c | 17.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a77…8b53backed Yes | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.01 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Yes | 75c | 14.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.77 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Cuenca vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro end in a draw?this page
- Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-05-05?No won
- Will CD Cuenca win on 2026-05-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.