CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Galorys - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe81dd4037ed39100fd6a6432e5dd05ece849e6c71f9b380354a8448e837539e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MIBRof MIBR, Galorys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,353
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,784
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,353 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbcfa…cab8backed Galorys | 64c | 1,714$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.05 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed MIBR | 54c | 1,437$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.18 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked MIBR | 57c | 1,107$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.34 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Galorys | 38c | 927.67$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 145 | 32.4%47 W · 98 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked MIBR | 25c | 709.63$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.96 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked MIBR | 42c | 648.89$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.99 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Galorys | 20c | 434.46$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.89 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Galorys | 68c | 414$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.12 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b4…834ebacked Galorys | 57c | 349.34$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed MIBR | 39c | 337.95$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.7 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MIBR | 41c | 305.47$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.52 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked MIBR | 78c | 278.7$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.43 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b22…ba7bbacked Galorys | 50c | 216$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked MIBR | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 325 | 36%117 W · 208 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MIBR | 55c | 139.79$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.95 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Galorys | 20c | 106.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Galorys | 59c | 96.88$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.95 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Galorys | 63c | 90.48$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Galorys | 33c | 80.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 157 | 38.2%60 W · 97 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a8…48c0backed Galorys | 20c | 65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed Galorys | 67c | 61.19$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed Galorys | 37c | 47.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed MIBR | 64c | 38.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked MIBR | 29c | 38.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.22 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…de3dbacked MIBR | 68c | 29.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 180 | 40.6%73 W · 107 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee59…e42abacked Galorys | 38c | 26.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…7909backed Galorys | 69c | 22.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Galorys | 58c | 21.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x030e…091abacked Galorys | 52c | 19.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…8e7ebacked Galorys | 62c | 16.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Galorys - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Galorys (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: South American Closed Qualifier PlayoffsMIBR won
- Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Galorys - Map 1 WinnerMIBR won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.