NHL · resolved market
AHL: Texas Stars vs. San Jose Barracuda
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe82d352036d64db613b2fc915342b34e3de05a56eeb7b4e9393d27e620bd938e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas Starsof Texas Stars, San Jose Barracuda
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,366
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,366 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56d4…9c57backed San Jose Barracuda | 54c | 1,052$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.18 | 231 | 55%127 W · 104 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x886e…98e0backed San Jose Barracuda | 39c | 734$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f32…b46cbacked Texas Stars | 61c | 650$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…23d6backed San Jose Barracuda | 51c | 549$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Texas Stars | 46c | 428$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.12 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed San Jose Barracuda | 42c | 423.35$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.56 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a84…8c06backed Texas Stars | 49c | 326$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9500…d55cbacked Texas Stars | 49c | 223$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.73 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c45…88a9backed San Jose Barracuda | 53c | 220$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a9…e779backed San Jose Barracuda | 39c | 220$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd981…107abacked Texas Stars | 47c | 219.49$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +99%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddb…fd11backed Texas Stars | 47c | 217.18$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4b…11d1backed San Jose Barracuda | 39c | 217$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Texas Stars | 46c | 217$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.18 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…7066backed San Jose Barracuda | 53c | 215$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45f2…874dbacked Texas Stars | 47c | 213.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x897b…ffcfbacked San Jose Barracuda | 53c | 212$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea5f…535cbacked Texas Stars | 47c | 211.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22e0…38cbbacked Texas Stars | 47c | 210.13$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1f…f429backed San Jose Barracuda | 53c | 210$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee99…416abacked San Jose Barracuda | 53c | 209$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…af7fbacked San Jose Barracuda | 53c | 205$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec1…afe5backed Texas Stars | 47c | 203.59$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…d211backed San Jose Barracuda | 53c | 203$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb80b…ae5ebacked Texas Stars | 47c | 198.51$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a2…ad9cbacked San Jose Barracuda | 39c | 197$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…481dbacked Texas Stars | 47c | 191.41$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x959e…d336backed San Jose Barracuda | 53c | 187$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3d…5ad5backed San Jose Barracuda | 53c | 186$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85f1…64ddbacked Texas Stars | 47c | 181.82$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.36 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x912d…eae3backed San Jose Barracuda | 53c | 181$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e4…a8acbacked Texas Stars | 47c | 180.87$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9072…efb8backed Texas Stars | 61c | 137$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.43 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +131.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c1…51debacked Texas Stars | 61c | 126$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Texas Stars | 45c | 120.32$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.17 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f0…b9c6backed Texas Stars | 61c | 114$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked San Jose Barracuda | 52c | 113.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.54 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Texas Stars | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 181 | 32%58 W · 123 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9808…32adbacked Texas Stars | 61c | 94$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked San Jose Barracuda | 18c | 91.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Texas Stars | 54c | 90.83$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.89 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed San Jose Barracuda | 32c | 88.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.27 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3429…a098backed Texas Stars | 61c | 84$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked San Jose Barracuda | 55c | 83.43$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.89 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a9…f5dfbacked Texas Stars | 61c | 83$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.37 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Texas Stars | 46c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…b3b6backed Texas Stars | 38c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae0…5c53backed Texas Stars | 61c | 80$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a9…118cbacked Texas Stars | 38c | 73.92$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.83 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Texas Stars | 54c | 70.59$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.16 | 450 | 69.3%312 W · 138 L | +51.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed San Jose Barracuda | 53c | 68$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.04 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Texas Stars | 47c | 68$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.04 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -13.1wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Texas Stars | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 366 | 52.7%193 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Texas Stars | 44c | 56.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed San Jose Barracuda | 54c | 55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 336 | 47.9%161 W · 175 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Texas Stars | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…2ddcbacked Texas Stars | 38c | 34.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2079…33d8backed San Jose Barracuda | 55c | 34.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Texas Stars | 42c | 31.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Texas Stars | 42c | 30.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 323 | 53.9%174 W · 149 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed San Jose Barracuda | 49c | 29.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Texas Stars | 52c | 23.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed San Jose Barracuda | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 497 | 47.9%238 W · 259 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.