Europa Conference League · resolved market
MH Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Atalanta BC: Team to Advance
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe89b9d71377689f880e8a3a96dc6fbad9b0a7abfb7ee76c56f2f7eb119073f5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atalanta BCof MH Hapoel Tel Aviv, Atalanta BC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,743
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,733
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,743 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x705d…3438backed MH Hapoel Tel Aviv | 23c | 745.36$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91c7…808fbacked Atalanta BC | 77c | 726.67$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.13 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Atalanta BC | 77c | 499.99$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9116…fe64backed MH Hapoel Tel Aviv | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…735ebacked MH Hapoel Tel Aviv | 22c | 272.1$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…653abacked Atalanta BC | 77c | 212.35$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Atalanta BC | 79c | 194$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.74 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a49…737abacked MH Hapoel Tel Aviv | 26c | 172.68$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.36 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Atalanta BC | 78c | 124.01$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 2,738 | 40.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked MH Hapoel Tel Aviv | 23c | 122$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 414 | 42.3%175 W · 239 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed Atalanta BC | 77c | 114.57$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -5.6wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Atalanta BC | 80c | 110$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.37 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…504ebacked MH Hapoel Tel Aviv | 21c | 85.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked MH Hapoel Tel Aviv | 23c | 70.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 1,104 | 45.4%501 W · 603 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed MH Hapoel Tel Aviv | 22c | 67.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 891 | 53.4%476 W · 415 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Atalanta BC | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20db…945dbacked MH Hapoel Tel Aviv | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd93…7182backed MH Hapoel Tel Aviv | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea3…2b3dbacked Atalanta BC | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce2…a9d0backed Atalanta BC | 78c | 37.17$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Atalanta BC | 75c | 34.53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 473 | 42.1%199 W · 274 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf870…99e6backed Atalanta BC | 78c | 25.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d2…90f6backed Atalanta BC | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78e9…fa0cbacked Atalanta BC | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Atalanta BC | 79c | 21.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 760 | 37.4%284 W · 476 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…41abbacked Atalanta BC | 80c | 16.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.39 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- MH Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Atalanta BC: Team to Advancethis page
- MH Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Atalanta BC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- MH Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Atalanta BC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- MH Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Atalanta BC: Atalanta BC O/U 1.5Under won
- MH Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- MH Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 0.5Over won
- MH Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5Under won
- MH Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5Under won
- MH Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5Under won
- MH Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 4.5Under won
- MH Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)MH Hapoel Tel Aviv won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-2.5)MH Hapoel Tel Aviv won
- Spread: MH Hapoel Tel Aviv (-1.5)Atalanta BC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.