Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xafdf339d003402d265dff2b6891969e0671516400fbc246f13f5b8e54de9f359
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MH Hapoel Tel Avivof Atalanta BC, MH Hapoel Tel Aviv
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,035
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,354
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,035 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed MH Hapoel Tel Aviv | 60c | 3,081$1,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.34 | 1,290 | 49.1%633 W · 657 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed MH Hapoel Tel Aviv | 73c | 2,696$1,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.13 | 2,738 | 40.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Atalanta BC | 32c | 2,359$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.22 | 1,895 | 38.7%734 W · 1,161 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed MH Hapoel Tel Aviv | 75c | 2,205$1,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.03 | 334 | 42.5%142 W · 192 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked MH Hapoel Tel Aviv | 62c | 1,664$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.15 | 3,247 | 42.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Atalanta BC | 42c | 1,344$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.57 | 760 | 37.4%284 W · 476 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed Atalanta BC | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Atalanta BC | 25c | 966.59$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.02 | 2,795 | 34.8%973 W · 1,822 L | -86.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd90d…97e5backed Atalanta BC | 10c | 774.12$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.89 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf2…7803backed Atalanta BC | 16c | 687.5$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4923…6866backed Atalanta BC | 38c | 519.08$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…317abacked Atalanta BC | 22c | 363.64$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05fe…358bbacked Atalanta BC | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed MH Hapoel Tel Aviv | 73c | 187.71$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.83 | 933 | 41.4%386 W · 547 L | -15.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1058…01c1backed Atalanta BC | 20c | 130$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Atalanta BC | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 636 | 49.5%315 W · 321 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed MH Hapoel Tel Aviv | 61c | 64.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 1,793 | 54.8%983 W · 810 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe710…7526backed Atalanta BC | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed MH Hapoel Tel Aviv | 59c | 47.61$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 1,219 | 36.3%442 W · 777 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked MH Hapoel Tel Aviv | 68c | 39.71$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Atalanta BC | 38c | 39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 413 | 43.3%179 W · 234 L | -12.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed MH Hapoel Tel Aviv | 60c | 33.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Atalanta BC | 39c | 33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 81 | 35.8%29 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee5f…5468backed Atalanta BC | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed MH Hapoel Tel Aviv | 60c | 29.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 277 | 37.9%105 W · 172 L | -17.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed MH Hapoel Tel Aviv | 63c | 21.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked MH Hapoel Tel Aviv | 62c | 18.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 1,034 | 50.8%525 W · 509 L | +16.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked MH Hapoel Tel Aviv | 61c | 17.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 1,041 | 48%500 W · 541 L | +18.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)this page
- MH Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Atalanta BC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- MH Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Atalanta BC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- MH Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Atalanta BC: Atalanta BC O/U 1.5Under won
- MH Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- MH Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 0.5Over won
- MH Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5Under won
- MH Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5Under won
- MH Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5Under won
- MH Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 4.5Under won
- MH Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 5.5Under won
- MH Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Atalanta BC: Team to AdvanceAtalanta BC won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-2.5)MH Hapoel Tel Aviv won
- Spread: MH Hapoel Tel Aviv (-1.5)Atalanta BC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.