Europa Conference League · resolved market
MH Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65ae81155adb07809145cb4d7564cf517b8d4aeea900b551db03bb272a301abe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,046
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,815
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,046 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf588…04fabacked Over | 18c | 5,415$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 58c | 2,837$1,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.46 | 2,738 | 40.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 7c | 1,280$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.57 | 1,104 | 45.4%501 W · 603 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 40c | 1,247$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.53 | 933 | 41.4%386 W · 547 L | -15.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 46c | 1,007$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.33 | 2,795 | 34.8%973 W · 1,822 L | -86.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 77c | 964.03$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.53 | 3,247 | 42.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5b…2501backed Over | 39c | 707.04$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.75 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Under | 74c | 619.98$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.52 | 334 | 42.5%142 W · 192 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa71d…9854backed Under | 57c | 505$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.05 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Under | 54c | 452.02$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.93 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3d…5fcfbacked Over | 46c | 370.36$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.37 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -84%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 41c | 280.91$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.21 | 416 | 45.9%191 W · 225 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…1366backed Over | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 41c | 201.27$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.66 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 22c | 111$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.58 | 414 | 42.3%175 W · 239 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed Under | 55c | 108$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…c012backed Under | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0145…35d0backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 636 | 49.5%315 W · 321 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 251 | 49.4%124 W · 127 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Over | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 195 | 45.6%89 W · 106 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 347 | 54.8%190 W · 157 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 69c | 49.38$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 1,895 | 38.7%734 W · 1,161 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10af…2d06backed Under | 57c | 35.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Over | 39c | 30.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x947d…dff0backed Under | 56c | 26.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 78c | 23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 1,793 | 54.8%983 W · 810 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Under | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…cc76backed Under | 57c | 20.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 58c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- MH Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5this page
- MH Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Atalanta BC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- MH Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Atalanta BC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- MH Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Atalanta BC: Atalanta BC O/U 1.5Under won
- MH Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- MH Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 0.5Over won
- MH Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5Under won
- MH Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5Under won
- MH Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 4.5Under won
- MH Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 5.5Under won
- MH Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Atalanta BC: Team to AdvanceAtalanta BC won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)MH Hapoel Tel Aviv won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-2.5)MH Hapoel Tel Aviv won
- Spread: MH Hapoel Tel Aviv (-1.5)Atalanta BC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.