Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Little Rock Trojans vs. Tennessee State Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe89f403f69a10931fc00bdf63d7247731070fc0309985072ab5db8bf17cb7e04
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tennessee State Tigersof Little Rock Trojans, Tennessee State Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,176
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,877
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,176 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Little Rock Trojans | 65c | 3,988$2,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,577.65 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Tennessee State Tigers | 39c | 2,406$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,471.66 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Tennessee State Tigers | 57c | 810.49$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.8 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Little Rock Trojans | 37c | 777$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.54 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Tennessee State Tigers | 32c | 690.67$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.16 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d53…3ad0backed Tennessee State Tigers | 58c | 689$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.29 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Little Rock Trojans | 52c | 575.05$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.75 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c64…348fbacked Little Rock Trojans | 2c | 537.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 57 | 0%0 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Tennessee State Tigers | 60c | 527.98$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.68 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Tennessee State Tigers | 66c | 525$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.41 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Little Rock Trojans | 19c | 524$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.75 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Little Rock Trojans | 56c | 471$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.77 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Tennessee State Tigers | 48c | 400$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Tennessee State Tigers | 51c | 287$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.63 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Little Rock Trojans | 59c | 232$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.88 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Tennessee State Tigers | 40c | 200$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.72 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff7…3a9dbacked Little Rock Trojans | 72c | 179.17$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Tennessee State Tigers | 52c | 153.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.38 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Tennessee State Tigers | 51c | 150$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.7 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Tennessee State Tigers | 29c | 150$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.5 | 253 | 25.3%64 W · 189 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Tennessee State Tigers | 41c | 137$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.58 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Little Rock Trojans | 79c | 126.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 181 | 67.4%122 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Little Rock Trojans | 73c | 103$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.59 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd682…1ae2backed Little Rock Trojans | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Little Rock Trojans | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Little Rock Trojans | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Tennessee State Tigers | 69c | 86.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Little Rock Trojans | 31c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Tennessee State Tigers | 69c | 80$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Tennessee State Tigers | 51c | 71.59$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.42 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Tennessee State Tigers | 69c | 58.01$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Tennessee State Tigers | 26c | 45.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.64 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Little Rock Trojans | 31c | 45.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Tennessee State Tigers | 67c | 35.01$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Tennessee State Tigers | 65c | 31.77$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31fe…5ee4backed Tennessee State Tigers | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Little Rock Trojans vs. Tennessee State Tigersthis page
- Little Rock Trojans vs. Tennessee State Tigers: O/U 152.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.