Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FK Borac Banja Luka win on 2026-08-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8c7d6fc287b1522ca1aa99f0da495a7bb6ac797551a611bf9da57ae6d8d9490
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,835
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,840
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,835 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 60c | 3,484$2,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.56 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 37c | 2,835$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.75 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 65c | 2,013$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.16 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 62c | 1,880$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.95 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 39c | 1,299$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.92 | 270 | 39.3%106 W · 164 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Yes | 40c | 970.88$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.35 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Yes | 38c | 919.92$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.78 | 182 | 52.7%96 W · 86 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 37c | 820$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.5 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 63c | 662.48$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.82 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 36c | 356.06$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.04 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 38c | 229$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.15 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 36c | 195.7$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.45 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes | 39c | 184$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.76 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 62c | 177$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.39 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Yes | 34c | 169.51$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.78 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a3…3f10backed Yes | 35c | 152.37$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.33 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 61c | 149.99$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 25c | 140.03$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 29c | 138.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Yes | 35c | 133.2$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 39c | 120$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 73c | 119.77$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.05 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 67c | 114.8$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.33 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed No | 60c | 64$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Yes | 36c | 61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 35c | 40.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 63c | 34.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 65c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 65c | 23.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6951…66f3backed No | 66c | 18.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed No | 66c | 16.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FK Borac Banja Luka win on 2026-08-13?this page
- Will FK ML Viciebsk vs. FK Borac Banja Luka end in a draw?No won
- Will FK ML Viciebsk win on 2026-08-13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.