Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FK ML Viciebsk win on 2026-08-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8433127470d2ae1ac57a78557ce5e35f305f79a586884525798b35146fb58364
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,790
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,215
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,790 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 65c | 2,186$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.66 | 725 | 50.2%364 W · 361 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 65c | 2,142$1,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390.64 | 772 | 48.8%377 W · 395 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 37c | 1,384$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.85 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 36c | 1,277$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.27 | 1,290 | 49.1%633 W · 657 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 35c | 1,216$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.85 | 2,738 | 40.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 63c | 919$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.22 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 37c | 737.97$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.57 | 896 | 48.2%432 W · 464 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 36c | 699.24$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.51 | 2,795 | 34.8%973 W · 1,822 L | -86.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 38c | 525.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.12 | 385 | 26.2%101 W · 284 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Yes | 36c | 460.72$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.86 | 241 | 49%118 W · 123 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf464…5076backed Yes | 37c | 272.42$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.62 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 63c | 216$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.83 | 1,793 | 54.8%983 W · 810 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 64c | 171.5$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.76 | 251 | 41%103 W · 148 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 63c | 161.34$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.81 | 632 | 49.1%310 W · 322 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 37c | 160$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.3 | 181 | 45.9%83 W · 98 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0a…e482backed No | 28c | 141.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 22c | 133.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 537 | 47.9%257 W · 280 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Yes | 39c | 131.08$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.04 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 72c | 104.61$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 2,433 | 37.4%909 W · 1,524 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 67c | 100.5$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.34 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d12…ccc3backed Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53c8…7f69backed Yes | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 64c | 64.65$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.34 | 556 | 45.9%255 W · 301 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb934…57ebbacked No | 51c | 63.96$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 65c | 61.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 193 | 55.4%107 W · 86 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 62c | 59.01$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.86 | 763 | 56.1%428 W · 335 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Yes | 38c | 55.05$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.13 | 153 | 45.1%69 W · 84 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 72c | 47.39$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 48c | 44.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 1,103 | 45.3%500 W · 603 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 65c | 42.54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 52c | 32.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 63c | 28.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 1,222 | 45.3%553 W · 669 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccad…46ecbacked No | 62c | 25.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 54c | 23.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 303 | 45.2%137 W · 166 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 64c | 21.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 1,034 | 50.8%525 W · 509 L | +16.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b2…11babacked Yes | 69c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FK ML Viciebsk win on 2026-08-13?this page
- Will FK Borac Banja Luka win on 2026-08-13?No won
- Will FK ML Viciebsk vs. FK Borac Banja Luka end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.