Tennis · resolved market
Zug: Philip Henning vs Thiago Seyboth Wild
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8f41e596f122b167d0d21135f8988ab7482a479fd55f2f3a65cecb0067de67b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thiago Seyboth Wildof Philip Henning, Thiago Seyboth Wild
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,330
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,103
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,330 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Philip Henning | 8c | 8,161$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.58 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Philip Henning | 10c | 4,321$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.42 | 394 | 46.7%184 W · 210 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf983…39a0backed Philip Henning | 14c | 3,629$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.41 | 101 | 35.6%36 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Philip Henning | 10c | 1,797$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.97 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Philip Henning | 12c | 1,559$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.33 | 323 | 29.7%96 W · 227 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed Philip Henning | 7c | 1,094$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.21 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Philip Henning | 5c | 795.46$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.04 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Philip Henning | 6c | 712.11$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.79 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0daf…17a9backed Philip Henning | 15c | 657.77$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.25 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Philip Henning | 9c | 627.13$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.56 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f7…d106backed Philip Henning | 14c | 499.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.5 | 122 | 27%33 W · 89 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Philip Henning | 9c | 435.43$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.23 | 877 | 41.3%362 W · 515 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Philip Henning | 31c | 402.98$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.92 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Philip Henning | 6c | 283.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a92…6b00backed Philip Henning | 19c | 261$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 476 | 51.9%247 W · 229 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Philip Henning | 11c | 239.93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c0…22ebbacked Philip Henning | 11c | 199.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 405 | 27.2%110 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…7dffbacked Philip Henning | 8c | 197.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 144 | 15.3%22 W · 122 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Thiago Seyboth Wild | 67c | 181.63$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.94 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Philip Henning | 33c | 141.89$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.27 | 559 | 41.3%231 W · 328 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Philip Henning | 10c | 129.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Philip Henning | 18c | 115.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 389 | 31.4%122 W · 267 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Philip Henning | 32c | 98.14$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Philip Henning | 17c | 92.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd1…f311backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 66c | 90.23$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.23 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4318…9a94backed Philip Henning | 33c | 80.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Philip Henning | 34c | 59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Philip Henning | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 171 | 40.9%70 W · 101 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Philip Henning | 33c | 40.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Philip Henning | 33c | 39.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45f2…722ebacked Thiago Seyboth Wild | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf8…5b60backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbef9…aa36backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 67c | 26.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 66c | 18.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x083d…10a1backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Zug: Philip Henning vs Thiago Seyboth Wildthis page
- Henning vs. Wild: Match O/U 21.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.