Europa Conference League · resolved market
OFI vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9aa4535c4adca20623a192b787f29b467d124d1c86e5f23832afc5f86ddf068
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,556
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,833
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,556 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 43c | 5,303$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,022.53 | 128 | 32.8%42 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 44c | 5,156$2,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,863.51 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 53c | 4,179$2,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,215.64 | 2,344 | 41.6%976 W · 1,368 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 57c | 2,631$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.67 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b43…0f61backed Under | 53c | 2,010$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Over | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.96 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 63c | 1,759$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.54 | 2,478 | 33.9%840 W · 1,638 L | -95.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 68c | 1,635$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.91 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 45c | 1,109$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 35c | 949.86$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.79 | 771 | 41.8%322 W · 449 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d2…7babbacked Over | 26c | 799.95$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.97 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 33c | 794.61$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.5 | 1,611 | 38.8%625 W · 986 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 51c | 747.89$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.11 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x704a…88d8backed Under | 76c | 735.89$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.71 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8220…b081backed Under | 47c | 640.61$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 39c | 487.11$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.14 | 275 | 45.8%126 W · 149 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 57c | 477.37$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.98 | 920 | 50.9%468 W · 452 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4a…e7cabacked Under | 60c | 318.92$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.35 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Under | 60c | 213$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.8 | 182 | 52.7%96 W · 86 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Under | 49c | 198.33$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xded4…1e6dbacked Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 52c | 175$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 376 | 46.5%175 W · 201 L | +26.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 42c | 150$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 56c | 132.22$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.68 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 69c | 122.16$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.24 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 49c | 110$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +9.3wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 44c | 108.2$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.59 | 658 | 35.6%234 W · 424 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b1…8e7dbacked Under | 49c | 107.01$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.45 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaba…cf38backed Under | 49c | 100.65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Over | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1737…2b2fbacked Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 70c | 89.18$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.72 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 49c | 77$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.26 | 390 | 52.6%205 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 60c | 69.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…a218backed Over | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 42c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 482 | 49.8%240 W · 242 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 69c | 57.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 371 | 46.4%172 W · 199 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Under | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 42 | 78.6%33 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 41c | 52.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 1,037 | 46.1%478 W · 559 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 56c | 46.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 387 | 53%205 W · 182 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 71c | 37.84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Over | 43c | 36.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.95 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 71c | 32.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed Over | 56c | 24.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 134 | 67.9%91 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed Under | 57c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 60c | 17.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b04…403fbacked Under | 60c | 17.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- OFI vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 2.5this page
- OFI vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- OFI vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- OFI vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- OFI vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 1.5Over won
- OFI vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 3.5Under won
- OFI vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 4.5Under won
- OFI vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: PFK CSKA Sofia O/U 0.5Under won
- OFI vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: PFK CSKA Sofia O/U 1.5Under won
- OFI vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: PFK CSKA Sofia O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: OFI (-1.5)OFI won
- Spread: PFK CSKA Sofia (-1.5)OFI won
- Spread: PFK CSKA Sofia (-2.5)OFI won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.