Tennis · resolved market
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs. Mirra Andreeva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeacb2df391b7205a343885e84008f7d3e91444dd7f83e78a4a16893826213a0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gauffof Gauff, Andreeva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,519
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,564
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,519 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e11…9bacbacked Andreeva | 47c | 21,526$10,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,095.55 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Gauff | 53c | 18,072$9,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,527.33 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Andreeva | 44c | 7,969$3,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,521.38 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…8687backed Gauff | 56c | 6,612$3,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,909.26 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb4…acb6backed Gauff | 55c | 4,246$2,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,915.81 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf586…f614backed Andreeva | 41c | 1,800$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Gauff | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Gauff | 60c | 800$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Andreeva | 45c | 654.44$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.5 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec78…b48bbacked Andreeva | 19c | 645$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Gauff | 54c | 463.28$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.11 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf007…8695backed Andreeva | 45c | 450$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54c4…471cbacked Andreeva | 45c | 430$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…97a9backed Gauff | 55c | 375$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe209…536dbacked Gauff | 55c | 355$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…07c3backed Andreeva | 19c | 325$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Andreeva | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 133 | 56.4%75 W · 58 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcca8…9779backed Gauff | 55c | 250$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Gauff | 53c | 199.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.99 | 316 | 50%158 W · 158 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Andreeva | 47c | 199.28$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.66 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Gauff | 55c | 188.44$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.8 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Gauff | 56c | 178.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.81 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Gauff | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac4…a55dbacked Andreeva | 15c | 118.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 54cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ff…835dbacked Andreeva | 45c | 115$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Andreeva | 45c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Gauff | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1f…aa3dbacked Andreeva | 48c | 36.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Andreeva | 47c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Gauff | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.