MLB · resolved market
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeae552bc255638d3d5726678a9a63524fa7bb3289467b14d4a5f90387decc85b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago White Soxof Chicago White Sox, Detroit Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,933
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,627
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,933 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Chicago White Sox | 32c | 2,038$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,382.72 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Detroit Tigers | 52c | 1,729$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.48 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Chicago White Sox | 52c | 1,679$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.23 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Detroit Tigers | 69c | 1,393$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.21 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Chicago White Sox | 38c | 1,293$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.72 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Detroit Tigers | 36c | 702.02$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.08 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Chicago White Sox | 66c | 501.48$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.94 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Detroit Tigers | 74c | 308$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.43 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago White Sox | 9c | 274.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.98 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Chicago White Sox | 62c | 205$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.07 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Chicago White Sox | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chicago White Sox | 27c | 165.48$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.08 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x557d…442dbacked Chicago White Sox | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Detroit Tigers | 63c | 126.72$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.83 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Chicago White Sox | 37c | 106$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.78 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Detroit Tigers | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Detroit Tigers | 76c | 99.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.99 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…953bbacked Chicago White Sox | 19c | 96.27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.41 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Detroit Tigers | 69c | 88.48$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.05 | 319 | 57.4%183 W · 136 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd60…3927backed Detroit Tigers | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Detroit Tigers | 74c | 72.76$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.02 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | -14.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Detroit Tigers | 54c | 67.89$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.97 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Chicago White Sox | 36c | 65.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.9 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Chicago White Sox | 53c | 65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Detroit Tigers | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 466 | 59.7%278 W · 188 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Detroit Tigers | 76c | 53.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.02 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Chicago White Sox | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Chicago White Sox | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Chicago White Sox | 36c | 29.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…cee8backed Detroit Tigers | 64c | 23.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Chicago White Sox | 54c | 19.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…ed7bbacked Detroit Tigers | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)this page
- Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit TigersChicago White Sox won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 10.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 11.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 12.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit TigersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.