Europa Conference League · resolved market
FK Sileks vs. FK Dynama-Minsk: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb487e6a5d4ec84c2579d756ffc1597f78fad82df23ba2ca37cab1b954cb7727
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,880
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,160
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,880 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 58c | 2,451$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.5 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 42c | 2,150$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 52c | 1,259$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.32 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 23c | 1,129$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.49 | 370 | 46.5%172 W · 198 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 57c | 1,023$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.59 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 32c | 990.28$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.13 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 740.76$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.81 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Under | 35c | 581.37$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.89 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 65c | 581.37$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.89 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 42c | 542.56$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.19 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f7…7656backed Under | 73c | 403.75$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.75 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 8c | 310$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Under | 36c | 277$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.28 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…0d16backed Over | 78c | 200$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.23 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Over | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c0…13b5backed Under | 36c | 164.77$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +123.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…4dacbacked Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 147 | 67.3%99 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 37c | 115$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.45 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 63c | 99.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 31c | 90.92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Over | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 31c | 46.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 53c | 36.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 39c | 35.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 31c | 35.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 66c | 27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…61febacked Under | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FK Sileks vs. FK Dynama-Minsk: O/U 1.5this page
- FK Sileks vs. FK Dynama-Minsk: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FK Sileks vs. FK Dynama-Minsk: O/U 0.5Over won
- FK Sileks vs. FK Dynama-Minsk: O/U 2.5Under won
- FK Sileks vs. FK Dynama-Minsk: O/U 3.5Under won
- FK Sileks vs. FK Dynama-Minsk: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FK Dynama-Minsk (-1.5)FK Sileks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.