WNBA · resolved market
Mystics vs Lynx
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb57eba6a5e4b941ef99dc7642399d7e530b33576712ea5742154a0792fc7221
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lynxof Mystics, Lynx
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,056
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,749
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,056 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Mystics | 16c | 4,636$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.39 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Mystics | 15c | 3,111$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.2 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mystics | 13c | 2,394$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.26 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…af3bbacked Mystics | 25c | 1,783$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.23 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Mystics | 15c | 1,400$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Mystics | 16c | 1,200$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.65 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Mystics | 16c | 1,020$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.95 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mystics | 16c | 972$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.84 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Mystics | 12c | 953$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.36 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Lynx | 72c | 833$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.2 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mystics | 14c | 713.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mystics | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Mystics | 17c | 640$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.4 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Mystics | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Mystics | 28c | 480.68$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.86 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Lynx | 73c | 480$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.6 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Mystics | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Lynx | 67c | 298$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.34 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x385a…08d1backed Mystics | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Mystics | 16c | 157$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Mystics | 16c | 155.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a9…0952backed Mystics | 26c | 151.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 82 | 12.2%10 W · 72 L | -10.5wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x45db…51c6backed Lynx | 65c | 138.5$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.47 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Mystics | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +11.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Lynx | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +8.4wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Mystics | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Mystics | 14c | 76.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.