Tennis · resolved market
ITF Bol: Eva Bennemann vs Maria Martinez Vaquero
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb850517848653413b5619dd058909c1409dcc4696b30cc2a7536ceb025fefd4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eva Bennemannof Eva Bennemann, Maria Martinez Vaquero
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,384
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,302
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,384 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Maria Martinez Vaquero | 3c | 1,705$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…5dbdbacked Maria Martinez Vaquero | 59c | 751.05$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.32 | 479 | 56.6%271 W · 208 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Maria Martinez Vaquero | 33c | 656.26$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.83 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Eva Bennemann | 49c | 596.26$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.76 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Eva Bennemann | 30c | 174.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.72 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55c7…f584backed Maria Martinez Vaquero | 71c | 153.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 36 | 75%27 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Eva Bennemann | 66c | 123.16$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.38 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Maria Martinez Vaquero | 46c | 116$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Eva Bennemann | 28c | 115.14$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.06 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Maria Martinez Vaquero | 72c | 107.14$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.14 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Eva Bennemann | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 594 | 40.2%239 W · 355 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ab…b20ebacked Maria Martinez Vaquero | 52c | 97.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Maria Martinez Vaquero | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Maria Martinez Vaquero | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Maria Martinez Vaquero | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Maria Martinez Vaquero | 32c | 58.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Eva Bennemann | 73c | 49.32$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Eva Bennemann | 44c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 423 | 50.8%215 W · 208 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…23acbacked Maria Martinez Vaquero | 76c | 44.7$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.97 | 617 | 55.9%345 W · 272 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Eva Bennemann | 71c | 33.91$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Eva Bennemann | 69c | 27.73$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Eva Bennemann | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…e926backed Maria Martinez Vaquero | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 92 | 43.5%40 W · 52 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed Eva Bennemann | 73c | 16.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.