Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Syracuse Orange vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb91371e01b5a587a76c47c7209c717a9266e0b6a1566a6245c1d9f2f2d61846
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wake Forest Demon Deaconsof Syracuse Orange, Wake Forest Demon Deacons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,407
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,200
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,407 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 70c | 9,147$6,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,759.91 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Syracuse Orange | 30c | 4,042$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.17 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Syracuse Orange | 11c | 2,036$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.25 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Syracuse Orange | 17c | 1,910$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.15 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Syracuse Orange | 28c | 797.85$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.96 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Syracuse Orange | 32c | 729.97$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.23 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a12…d212backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 55c | 720.97$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 63c | 705.47$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.13 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Syracuse Orange | 40c | 662.59$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.34 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ac…8fc5backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 51c | 586.98$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.6 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Syracuse Orange | 44c | 523.95$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.83 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 66c | 435.77$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.3 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ed…0a9fbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 49c | 406.62$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.37 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…1362backed Syracuse Orange | 56c | 390.74$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.09 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 55c | 358.48$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.21 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Syracuse Orange | 52c | 325.39$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.8 | 365 | 35.9%131 W · 234 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Syracuse Orange | 38c | 309.06$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.44 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 62c | 304.47$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.7 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 61c | 252.88$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.62 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…eec3backed Syracuse Orange | 39c | 250$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d0…6fc8backed Syracuse Orange | 53c | 187.03$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Syracuse Orange | 33c | 176.82$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.06 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Syracuse Orange | 50c | 159.34$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.67 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 60c | 136.53$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.27 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Syracuse Orange | 52c | 132.37$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.83 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Syracuse Orange | 47c | 116.26$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.21 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Syracuse Orange | 16c | 101.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Syracuse Orange | 40c | 99.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 39c | 53.61$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 252 | 39.3%99 W · 153 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Syracuse Orange | 33c | 51.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…aa37backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 53c | 50.96$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.95 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…3a2abacked Syracuse Orange | 53c | 44.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…c767backed Syracuse Orange | 58c | 32.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Syracuse Orange | 58c | 29.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 144 | 61.8%89 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 50c | 27.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7817…d4b1backed Syracuse Orange | 49c | 22.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9c…da16backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 59c | 18.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 150 | 66%99 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.