Tennis · resolved market
ITF Takasaki: Sohyun Park vs Rina Saigo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebb59e7ac7e585c394b2f090ba01d041f1d93ca68a9c38eb35bf470286eb91c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rina Saigoof Sohyun Park, Rina Saigo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,545
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,901
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,545 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6292…d696backed Rina Saigo | 29c | 5,638$1,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,975.7 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +938.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sohyun Park | 72c | 2,898$2,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,078.21 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Rina Saigo | 27c | 966.67$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.23 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Sohyun Park | 67c | 860.01$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.79 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7906…be5dbacked Sohyun Park | 73c | 700$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.04 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sohyun Park | 68c | 562.31$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.02 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Sohyun Park | 47c | 406.53$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.36 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…3a93backed Rina Saigo | 71c | 357.75$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.64 | 160 | 45.6%73 W · 87 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Sohyun Park | 62c | 314.79$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.69 | 376 | 45.7%172 W · 204 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Sohyun Park | 72c | 300$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 419 | 55.8%234 W · 185 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Rina Saigo | 28c | 299.96$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.05 | 359 | 32.6%117 W · 242 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Sohyun Park | 70c | 282.47$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.05 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Rina Saigo | 30c | 261.08$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.75 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Sohyun Park | 73c | 204.06$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.97 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Rina Saigo | 70c | 202.18$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.37 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Sohyun Park | 70c | 172.86$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 849 | 68.4%581 W · 268 L | +25.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Sohyun Park | 80c | 141.68$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.3 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…8181backed Sohyun Park | 71c | 141.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 812 | 56.2%456 W · 356 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rina Saigo | 27c | 132.69$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.05 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee0a…36d8backed Sohyun Park | 72c | 111.11$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 382 | 62.3%238 W · 144 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Sohyun Park | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36e6…ad16backed Sohyun Park | 72c | 90.35$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Rina Saigo | 35c | 77.57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Sohyun Park | 67c | 77$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.59 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58cc…2296backed Sohyun Park | 72c | 76.39$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 143 | 69.9%100 W · 43 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…4e0ebacked Sohyun Park | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 160 | 55%88 W · 72 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…3b08backed Sohyun Park | 72c | 66.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 509 | 58%295 W · 214 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d25…e306backed Sohyun Park | 73c | 47.95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Rina Saigo | 70c | 43.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Rina Saigo | 31c | 38.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Sohyun Park | 39c | 37.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Sohyun Park | 66c | 34.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…e926backed Sohyun Park | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 43.5%40 W · 52 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Sohyun Park | 49c | 25.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 156 | 5.8%9 W · 147 L | -32.4wins | -0.21per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Sohyun Park | 65c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe581…d77abacked Rina Saigo | 60c | 23.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 68cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Sohyun Park | 55c | 21.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 783 | 50.3%394 W · 389 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b31…b2a3backed Sohyun Park | 76c | 18.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.