Tennis · resolved market
Poznan: Gonzalo Bueno vs Frederico Ferreira Silva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebfd92bf72d717c18fa5e2bf0956da0cb9b1992c3eb9c1ff21f2f0c767136972
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gonzalo Buenoof Gonzalo Bueno, Frederico Ferreira Silva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,348
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,903
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,348 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 22c | 3,938$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.38 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Gonzalo Bueno | 72c | 2,509$1,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.67 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Gonzalo Bueno | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 35c | 1,903$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.29 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Gonzalo Bueno | 67c | 1,725$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.74 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Gonzalo Bueno | 79c | 1,645$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.05 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Frederico Ferreira Silva | 26c | 1,000$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.28 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Frederico Ferreira Silva | 45c | 796.27$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.32 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292b…bf0ebacked Gonzalo Bueno | 77c | 725$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.5 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Gonzalo Bueno | 77c | 676.81$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.17 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…1eb3backed Gonzalo Bueno | 57c | 524.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.76 | 179 | 41.3%74 W · 105 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Frederico Ferreira Silva | 28c | 250.32$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.82 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92c8…45f6backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 20c | 236.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 225 | 44.4%100 W · 125 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Gonzalo Bueno | 76c | 228.94$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 525 | 57%299 W · 226 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Gonzalo Bueno | 57c | 206.88$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.96 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 43c | 186.05$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Gonzalo Bueno | 65c | 185.63$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.51 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8678…b755backed Gonzalo Bueno | 76c | 164.45$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Frederico Ferreira Silva | 33c | 153.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Gonzalo Bueno | 70c | 141.43$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.43 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Gonzalo Bueno | 68c | 138$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.72 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Gonzalo Bueno | 56c | 121.23$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.34 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 32c | 119.95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.94 | 1,102 | 56.5%623 W · 479 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 42c | 106$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.52 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 44c | 103$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.32 | 457 | 44.2%202 W · 255 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Gonzalo Bueno | 55c | 101.3$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.59 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Gonzalo Bueno | 71c | 94$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 34c | 90$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Frederico Ferreira Silva | 32c | 87.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Frederico Ferreira Silva | 33c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 389 | 52.2%203 W · 186 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Gonzalo Bueno | 63c | 72$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 34c | 68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 737 | 48%354 W · 383 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Gonzalo Bueno | 72c | 66$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 592 | 53.5%317 W · 275 L | +22.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Gonzalo Bueno | 79c | 63.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Gonzalo Bueno | 64c | 49.51$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Frederico Ferreira Silva | 39c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 749 | 55.1%413 W · 336 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Gonzalo Bueno | 65c | 44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Frederico Ferreira Silva | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 234 | 27.4%64 W · 170 L | -40.1wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 35c | 37.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Frederico Ferreira Silva | 37c | 32.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Gonzalo Bueno | 73c | 28.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…3503backed Gonzalo Bueno | 71c | 16.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 119 | 68.9%82 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.