Tennis · resolved market
ITF Amstelveen: Abel Forger vs Pieter De Lange
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec5d473f464e4cc804bf20d880e0b0a6f2736fe68b42dcea73cd58576d263140
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pieter De Langeof Abel Forger, Pieter De Lange
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,825
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,060
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,825 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Abel Forger | 54c | 631.52$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.41 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Pieter De Lange | 35c | 600$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 6,998 | 39.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L | -16.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Abel Forger | 28c | 388.44$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.66 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Abel Forger | 46c | 217.86$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.72 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Pieter De Lange | 49c | 206.63$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.38 | 4,882 | 38.8%1,892 W · 2,990 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Abel Forger | 58c | 115.89$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.36 | 6,419 | 46.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Pieter De Lange | 59c | 91$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.41 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Pieter De Lange | 52c | 82.85$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 6,685 | 36.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L | -96.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Pieter De Lange | 70c | 74$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Pieter De Lange | 70c | 74$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Pieter De Lange | 54c | 67.39$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 4,584 | 48.3%2,215 W · 2,369 L | +35.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Pieter De Lange | 47c | 59.95$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Pieter De Lange | 50c | 59.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 576 | 45.7%263 W · 313 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Pieter De Lange | 58c | 54.38$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed Abel Forger | 56c | 53.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Abel Forger | 59c | 50.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 5,377 | 48.7%2,617 W · 2,760 L | +16.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Pieter De Lange | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Abel Forger | 43c | 44.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1,001 | 38.4%384 W · 617 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Pieter De Lange | 51c | 39.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Abel Forger | 45c | 36.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 273 | 63.4%173 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Pieter De Lange | 47c | 32.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Abel Forger | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Pieter De Lange | 70c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 1,672 | 50.1%837 W · 835 L | +30.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Abel Forger | 48c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.