CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xecb9b356f96d508cefd69faafcc39a04ba4185ec6676b508b5e8459ea1ed61cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bushido Wildcatsof Nemiga, Bushido Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,003
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,846
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,003 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Nemiga | 54c | 849.86$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.18 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Bushido Wildcats | 37c | 807.05$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.99 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 19c | 753.13$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.16 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Bushido Wildcats | 64c | 529.65$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.62 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked Nemiga | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Bushido Wildcats | 14c | 499.63$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.05 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce9…c3ccbacked Nemiga | 68c | 455$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Nemiga | 27c | 429$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.8 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nemiga | 32c | 391$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.53 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Bushido Wildcats | 49c | 382.58$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.82 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Nemiga | 32c | 286.82$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.14 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Nemiga | 62c | 251.84$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.9 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ade…fb15backed Nemiga | 20c | 213.77$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.13 | 197 | 48.7%96 W · 101 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nemiga | 47c | 201.94$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.59 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…a4cbbacked Nemiga | 64c | 143.31$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.64 | 260 | 48.8%127 W · 133 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Nemiga | 21c | 140$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Nemiga | 78c | 128$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fb…1c4abacked Nemiga | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Nemiga | 11c | 125$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Nemiga | 50c | 120.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.73 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x595c…3b03backed Nemiga | 30c | 113$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.42 | 151 | 57%86 W · 65 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Nemiga | 35c | 99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 600 | 32.3%194 W · 406 L | -49.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…4c16backed Nemiga | 64c | 96.88$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 48c | 95.27$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.61 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Bushido Wildcats | 36c | 94$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.16 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 24c | 70$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Nemiga | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 446 | 75.3%336 W · 110 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Bushido Wildcats | 24c | 60.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Nemiga | 45c | 51.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Nemiga | 38c | 37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked Nemiga | 47c | 28.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Nemiga | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…0813backed Bushido Wildcats | 68c | 16.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 200 | 67%134 W · 66 L | +13.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 PlayoffsBushido Wildcats won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: NEMI (-1.5) vs Bushido Wildcats (+1.5)Bushido Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.