MLB · resolved market
Detroit Tigers vs. Colorado Rockies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed317d370cdb4f6ad787e90d69e70f96d9954642ccf35e51f58d1e3ca2866773
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Detroit Tigersof Detroit Tigers, Colorado Rockies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,132
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,132 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Colorado Rockies | 32c | 861.55$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.75 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Detroit Tigers | 69c | 800.43$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.74 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Colorado Rockies | 32c | 678.65$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.71 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Colorado Rockies | 38c | 581.15$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.33 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…926ebacked Colorado Rockies | 13c | 550$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.92 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Detroit Tigers | 77c | 545.51$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.4 | 856 | 35.7%306 W · 550 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Colorado Rockies | 62c | 519.76$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.41 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Detroit Tigers | 63c | 502.93$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.36 | 881 | 53.7%473 W · 408 L | +40.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed Detroit Tigers | 67c | 487.21$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.85 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf4…66bbbacked Colorado Rockies | 43c | 443.04$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9a…ac7dbacked Detroit Tigers | 67c | 368.32$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51bc…f2fabacked Detroit Tigers | 73c | 333.34$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Colorado Rockies | 39c | 240.05$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.36 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Colorado Rockies | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 172.24$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.06 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +31.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Colorado Rockies | 37c | 172$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.64 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…87bdbacked Detroit Tigers | 49c | 155$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.99 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x155a…b549backed Detroit Tigers | 61c | 147.54$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.54 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Detroit Tigers | 60c | 146$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.4 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x159a…d8dbbacked Detroit Tigers | 71c | 139.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.98 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fca…e8edbacked Detroit Tigers | 72c | 130$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Detroit Tigers | 69c | 114.6$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.48 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Colorado Rockies | 34c | 106.12$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.57 | 2,546 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,378 L | -74.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Detroit Tigers | 46c | 94.46$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.95 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Colorado Rockies | 37c | 91.14$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.63 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Detroit Tigers | 69c | 89.05$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.61 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Detroit Tigers | 65c | 87$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Colorado Rockies | 40c | 83.08$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 474 | 47.3%224 W · 250 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Detroit Tigers | 62c | 80.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 133 | 61.7%82 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Colorado Rockies | 29c | 74.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 1,928 | 17.2%331 W · 1,597 L | -320.9wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e5…ab31backed Detroit Tigers | 69c | 72.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Colorado Rockies | 29c | 72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Colorado Rockies | 31c | 71.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Detroit Tigers | 73c | 64.68$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 1,947 | 53.1%1,033 W · 914 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Colorado Rockies | 51c | 62.47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Detroit Tigers | 71c | 61.11$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 393 | 44.3%174 W · 219 L | -22.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Detroit Tigers | 70c | 57.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x304e…9ce6backed Detroit Tigers | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6af…532dbacked Colorado Rockies | 44c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Colorado Rockies | 35c | 37.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Colorado Rockies | 30c | 36.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Detroit Tigers | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Colorado Rockies | 32c | 33.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8943…6c65backed Colorado Rockies | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Detroit Tigers | 59c | 29.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 1,728 | 50.4%871 W · 857 L | +57.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Detroit Tigers | 58c | 29.12$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Detroit Tigers | 60c | 21.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Detroit Tigers | 70c | 21.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Detroit Tigers | 69c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked Detroit Tigers | 69c | 20.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Detroit Tigers | 68c | 18.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 171 | 59.1%101 W · 70 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Detroit Tigers | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.