Mls · resolved market
Vancouver Whitecaps FC leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed7787e8583b169de8024f1646ee163d5cbfd280b54b0b07071c5a7ab11bcaf0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,727
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,334
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,727 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 50c | 1,741$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.45 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 140 | 62.1%87 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 45c | 999.85$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.92 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked Yes | 55c | 618.18$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.18 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 55c | 390$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.5 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +9.4wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 43c | 354.35$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.98 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 45c | 319.79$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.21 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 55c | 305$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.35 | 273 | 44.3%121 W · 152 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed No | 50c | 199.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 50c | 199.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 51c | 184.19$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.4 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked No | 47c | 105.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked No | 55c | 98.18$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 50c | 87.85$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.85 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…67b6backed Yes | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf3…2286backed Yes | 53c | 39.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 47c | 38.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -9.9wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed No | 46c | 28.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 54c | 26.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.