Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Green Bay Phoenix vs. Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed81fd4c2b9a61a9205fb0099c20f9a71d5d98bfe7896856a78f264a1fe57600
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Green Bay Phoenixof Green Bay Phoenix, Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,015
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,555
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,015 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Green Bay Phoenix | 50c | 1,288$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.5 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa0…7894backed Green Bay Phoenix | 74c | 718.78$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 20c | 638.05$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.94 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 35c | 575.6$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.25 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 31c | 525.26$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.34 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 40c | 522.69$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.17 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 21c | 484.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.97 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 28c | 465.91$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.18 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 34c | 383.82$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.97 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…02dbbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 63c | 305.16$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.31 | 35 | 77.1%27 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 39c | 286.58$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.28 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Green Bay Phoenix | 53c | 284.81$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.81 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 77c | 266.27$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.49 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 24c | 203.5$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.85 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 12c | 115.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Green Bay Phoenix | 23c | 111.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.76 | 215 | 35.3%76 W · 139 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1909…0e55backed Green Bay Phoenix | 63c | 109.75$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 72c | 102$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.01 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Green Bay Phoenix | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad2…71f8backed Green Bay Phoenix | 58c | 93$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.19 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 73c | 92.3$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.38 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…7cc8backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 18c | 79.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 79c | 76$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.81 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Green Bay Phoenix | 62c | 73$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Green Bay Phoenix | 27c | 71.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.05 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 45c | 67.91$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 39c | 61.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…4404backed Green Bay Phoenix | 69c | 53.31$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 40c | 39.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 50c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 36c | 34.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0e…c6a8backed Green Bay Phoenix | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Green Bay Phoenix vs. Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodonsthis page
- Green Bay Phoenix vs. Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons: O/U 147.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.