Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Norrie (-1.5) vs Quinn (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xedc36c80f4b8225d736fca3fc47bc591d7025db80632fc5d88d111e6b34c939a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Quinnof Norrie, Quinn
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,330
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,052
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,330 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Quinn | 54c | 1,176$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.8 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Norrie | 36c | 795.13$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.53 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf341…33e3backed Norrie | 37c | 699.99$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeff…78f8backed Quinn | 63c | 517.88$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.61 | 436 | 47.2%206 W · 230 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Quinn | 59c | 494.4$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.38 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Norrie | 45c | 482.46$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.85 | 288 | 33.3%96 W · 192 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…ed83backed Norrie | 51c | 455.59$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.35 | 134 | 32.8%44 W · 90 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8c…f75abacked Quinn | 63c | 388.02$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.57 | 327 | 63.9%209 W · 118 L | +15.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Norrie | 38c | 385.12$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.35 | 350 | 40.9%143 W · 207 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Norrie | 37c | 329.8$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.32 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Norrie | 37c | 226.79$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.69 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Norrie | 43c | 225.26$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.57 | 683 | 50.1%342 W · 341 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x088a…9ee7backed Quinn | 63c | 211.46$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.72 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5462…fe43backed Quinn | 61c | 207.57$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.61 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa684…ca71backed Quinn | 63c | 193.46$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.22 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Norrie | 37c | 192.81$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.2 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Quinn | 62c | 126.07$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.2 | 135 | 63%85 W · 50 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Norrie | 38c | 121.06$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 222 | 55.4%123 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…ad65backed Norrie | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Quinn | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Quinn | 62c | 97.72$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd26…e9d0backed Quinn | 62c | 76.82$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Norrie | 38c | 62.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 450 | 51.8%233 W · 217 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Quinn | 76c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 269 | 51.3%138 W · 131 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Norrie | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 265 | 48.7%129 W · 136 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Quinn | 62c | 36.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 535 | 44.1%236 W · 299 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeafd…723fbacked Norrie | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4a…d477backed Norrie | 55c | 32.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Norrie | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17a3…8cb3backed Norrie | 61c | 19.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 104 | 71.2%74 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Quinn | 71c | 14.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Norrie (-1.5) vs Quinn (+1.5)this page
- Barcelona Open: Cameron Norrie vs Ethan QuinnCameron Norrie won
- Cameron Norrie vs. Ethan Quinn: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Norrie vs. Quinn: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Norrie vs. Quinn: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Norrie vs. Quinn: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Norrie vs QuinnNorrie won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.