NHL · resolved market
Blue Jackets vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xedfd0af8f472f5141d40ae31d0b3a4ca04b63db632ef948d101b5f809e0a6b3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,143
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,158
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,143 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Under | 53c | 2,082$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.96 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 1,106$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.93 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…3afdbacked Over | 48c | 999.99$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.99 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 46c | 982.84$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.92 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 47c | 900$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 54c | 801.85$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.85 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 54c | 624.99$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.5 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Over | 30c | 555$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.4 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 70c | 525$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under | 53c | 384.57$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.75 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 52c | 228.8$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.8 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Over | 46c | 224.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe064…98d5backed Under | 52c | 220$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Under | 51c | 213$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.37 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde97…120dbacked Over | 49c | 213$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Under | 52c | 171.15$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.15 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over | 47c | 111.7$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 191 | 41.9%80 W · 111 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Under | 53c | 103.97$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.94 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…8feebacked Under | 52c | 101$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.48 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 51c | 57.84$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.34 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…3c5abacked Over | 49c | 57.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bc…ec35backed Under | 52c | 47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 59c | 46.34$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…68ecbacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…98f2backed Over | 48c | 37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Under | 52c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 222 | 55.9%124 W · 98 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Under | 59c | 31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Over | 41c | 30.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -8.5wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 48c | 27.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blue Jackets vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5this page
- Blue Jackets vs. SabresSabres won
- Blue Jackets vs. Sabres: O/U 3.5Over won
- Blue Jackets vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5Over won
- Blue Jackets vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)Sabres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.