Tennis · resolved market
ITF Rio Claro: Valentina Mediorreal Arias vs Ana Candiotto
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee588cbdb9b83b092608f899ea19dd61c29a224c808ae332fbcfc8a4f0cd10e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ana Candiottoof Valentina Mediorreal Arias, Ana Candiotto
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,370
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,468
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,370 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Ana Candiotto | 66c | 4,607$3,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.37 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Valentina Mediorreal Arias | 34c | 3,974$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.91 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Valentina Mediorreal Arias | 21c | 252.38$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Ana Candiotto | 71c | 230$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.7 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Valentina Mediorreal Arias | 29c | 226.18$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.59 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Valentina Mediorreal Arias | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Ana Candiotto | 76c | 185.6$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.74 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…b1ccbacked Ana Candiotto | 74c | 176.35$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.35 | 392 | 54.1%212 W · 180 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Valentina Mediorreal Arias | 24c | 165.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.74 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Ana Candiotto | 74c | 130.45$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Valentina Mediorreal Arias | 26c | 126.35$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Valentina Mediorreal Arias | 36c | 112.2$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.74 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Valentina Mediorreal Arias | 27c | 102.46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.64 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Ana Candiotto | 72c | 85.32$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.04 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Ana Candiotto | 73c | 66.33$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed Ana Candiotto | 79c | 63.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 363 | 78.2%284 W · 79 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 77cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed Valentina Mediorreal Arias | 25c | 62.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Ana Candiotto | 73c | 62.04$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 408 | 61.3%250 W · 158 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Valentina Mediorreal Arias | 29c | 49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x097c…630abacked Valentina Mediorreal Arias | 40c | 45.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff8c…142ebacked Ana Candiotto | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 49 | 79.6%39 W · 10 L | +8.9wins | +0.18per pick | 61cpaid | +31%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…01c9backed Ana Candiotto | 79c | 31.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Ana Candiotto | 71c | 31.17$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Ana Candiotto | 67c | 29.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 449 | 52.8%237 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Ana Candiotto | 63c | 26.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Ana Candiotto | 59c | 25.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ana Candiotto | 74c | 16.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Ana Candiotto | 68c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.