South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-01-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee8a99f3d1354a5ce90ebe4db652b13c94612795ed747f1d1427850f0d0ff7e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,989
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,385
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,989 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 71c | 5,250$3,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545.84 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked Yes | 30c | 5,027$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.84 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 69c | 3,982$2,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.57 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 58c | 3,057$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.45 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 31c | 2,688$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.86 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 40c | 2,205$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.88 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 72c | 1,430$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.73 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 1,370$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.52 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 33c | 1,368$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.57 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 31c | 1,230$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.3 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 69c | 928.75$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.31 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 71c | 813.18$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.65 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 67c | 634.5$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.5 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 27c | 558.68$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.88 | 128 | 28.1%36 W · 92 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 67c | 341$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.95 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 32c | 324.08$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.25 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 30c | 293.01$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.43 | 250 | 21.6%54 W · 196 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 70c | 190.02$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.66 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Yes | 34c | 175.73$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.39 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 31c | 162.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…2277backed Yes | 34c | 161.76$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 33c | 127$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.11 | 181 | 29.8%54 W · 127 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8007…4245backed Yes | 28c | 110$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 36c | 107.21$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.93 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 41c | 106.9$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.26 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3e…ef94backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 77c | 93.6$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Yes | 17c | 88.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 32c | 86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 41c | 83.96$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.19 | 271 | 33.9%92 W · 179 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Yes | 41c | 78.87$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 29c | 77.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 95 | 22.1%21 W · 74 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Yes | 29c | 55.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5acf…0df2backed No | 71c | 52.8$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…4e25backed Yes | 31c | 48.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 67c | 43.33$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 32c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1794…16dbbacked Yes | 33c | 39.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 56c | 38.11$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd172…2b71backed Yes | 34c | 36.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dda…b441backed Yes | 34c | 30.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x844b…2580backed No | 68c | 30.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…c154backed No | 69c | 15.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10dd…042dbacked No | 69c | 14.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5f…1932backed No | 69c | 14.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 72cpaid | +40%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed No | 71c | 14.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-01-29?this page
- Will Botafogo FR vs. Cruzeiro EC end in a draw?No won
- Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-01-29?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.