Tennis · resolved market
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Clara Tauson vs Simona Waltert
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef4c52072be0b1ee27a90361fcb4162b0ca27dec8feb64a6353d9ff3879dbd81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tausonof Tauson, Waltert
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,483
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,422
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,483 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Waltert | 17c | 10,244$1,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,714.5 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Tauson | 71c | 5,889$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,688.62 | 369 | 68%251 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Tauson | 76c | 3,259$2,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.94 | 441 | 63.7%281 W · 160 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Waltert | 30c | 2,500$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745 | 226 | 41.6%94 W · 132 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Tauson | 64c | 2,344$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.75 | 721 | 32%231 W · 490 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Waltert | 28c | 2,065$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.38 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec7a…a1f2backed Tauson | 75c | 1,691$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.87 | 147 | 66.7%98 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Tauson | 65c | 1,529$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.59 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Waltert | 17c | 1,363$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.99 | 287 | 26.8%77 W · 210 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Waltert | 27c | 1,258$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.31 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Waltert | 18c | 1,197$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.59 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e3…dd00backed Waltert | 35c | 928.57$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Waltert | 22c | 630.64$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.98 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cde…6040backed Tauson | 77c | 611.66$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.66 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x279b…2365backed Waltert | 20c | 510$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…1c08backed Tauson | 75c | 473.43$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.63 | 142 | 50.7%72 W · 70 L | -14.6wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -21%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Waltert | 25c | 465.59$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.92 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Waltert | 17c | 445.14$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.94 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Waltert | 23c | 434.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.05 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Waltert | 29c | 403.34$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.73 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed Waltert | 35c | 347.73$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.67 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Tauson | 71c | 287.52$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.6 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Waltert | 15c | 266$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.49 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…27fbbacked Tauson | 77c | 257.39$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc57a…fe9fbacked Tauson | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Tauson | 74c | 201$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.93 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb485…f560backed Waltert | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Tauson | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Waltert | 11c | 159$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 218 | 43.1%94 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…9e01backed Tauson | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Waltert | 23c | 156.17$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.92 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Waltert | 18c | 142.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Tauson | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Waltert | 21c | 132.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Waltert | 17c | 130.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Waltert | 25c | 116$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 313 | 32.3%101 W · 212 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4712…5bd6backed Tauson | 73c | 109.29$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.29 | 144 | 75%108 W · 36 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Tauson | 77c | 103.9$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 87 | 67.8%59 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Waltert | 25c | 103.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Waltert | 30c | 92.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafb8…505cbacked Tauson | 77c | 89.04$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Waltert | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 248 | 26.2%65 W · 183 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Waltert | 26c | 76.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Waltert | 23c | 75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1359…0c0dbacked Tauson | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 76cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab50…6e96backed Waltert | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Waltert | 27c | 49.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c85…b926backed Waltert | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371e…0f81backed Waltert | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x828c…fb4cbacked Waltert | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cea…5013backed Waltert | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Waltert | 30c | 36.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 520 | 37.7%196 W · 324 L | -30.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Waltert | 30c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7279…a05cbacked Tauson | 74c | 33.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Tauson | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…261fbacked Tauson | 75c | 33.18$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 243 | 57.6%140 W · 103 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Tauson | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 275 | 43.3%119 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0483…483bbacked Tauson | 73c | 28.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x903b…2475backed Tauson | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…4ebbbacked Tauson | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 940 | 60.6%570 W · 370 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Tauson | 68c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2039…35d7backed Tauson | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc5…908abacked Tauson | 73c | 23.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 587 | 53.7%315 W · 272 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5056…e270backed Tauson | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…96f0backed Tauson | 73c | 17.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Clara Tauson vs Simona Waltertthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Tauson vs WaltertTauson won
- Set Handicap: Tauson (-1.5) vs Waltert (+1.5)Tauson won
- Tauson vs. Waltert: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Tauson vs. Waltert: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Tauson vs. Waltert: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Under won
- Tauson vs. Waltert: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.