MLB · resolved market
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Lotte Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefa1d2c2b68806ee23213586d719647abdc6f6c9b8df9b1921f551059dbd188b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Doosan Bearsof Doosan Bears, Lotte Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,972
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,439
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,972 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Lotte Giants | 22c | 986.55$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.72 | 158 | 40.5%64 W · 94 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Doosan Bears | 76c | 913.38$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.45 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Lotte Giants | 18c | 611.93$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.09 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lotte Giants | 25c | 412.57$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.25 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Lotte Giants | 27c | 392.48$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.98 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Lotte Giants | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Doosan Bears | 79c | 335.09$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.15 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61cd…541ebacked Doosan Bears | 77c | 297.4$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 148 | 64.2%95 W · 53 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Doosan Bears | 78c | 279.95$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.67 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lotte Giants | 22c | 269.19$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Doosan Bears | 60c | 246.45$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.38 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Doosan Bears | 59c | 229.03$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.9 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x768d…d230backed Lotte Giants | 35c | 192.16$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.21 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Doosan Bears | 74c | 165.42$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.58 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfde0…c21cbacked Lotte Giants | 41c | 161.46$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.2 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Doosan Bears | 79c | 143.57$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.77 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Doosan Bears | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Lotte Giants | 41c | 122.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 252 | 55.2%139 W · 113 L | +17.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Doosan Bears | 76c | 106.86$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…e628backed Lotte Giants | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Doosan Bears | 76c | 93.64$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.37 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Lotte Giants | 41c | 73.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Lotte Giants | 38c | 73.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed Doosan Bears | 74c | 71$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x304a…05ecbacked Lotte Giants | 28c | 69.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Doosan Bears | 59c | 67.72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.46 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca7…e965backed Doosan Bears | 61c | 65.27$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.27 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Doosan Bears | 80c | 65$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Doosan Bears | 77c | 59.96$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 557 | 58%323 W · 234 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x393e…7b02backed Doosan Bears | 61c | 58.54$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +23%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Doosan Bears | 65c | 52.9$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Lotte Giants | 39c | 52.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Doosan Bears | 71c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed Lotte Giants | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Lotte Giants | 40c | 46.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bd…e48fbacked Doosan Bears | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefad…9c1bbacked Lotte Giants | 35c | 33.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed Lotte Giants | 30c | 33.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac31…9ac0backed Doosan Bears | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Doosan Bears | 75c | 29.76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Doosan Bears | 57c | 28.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Doosan Bears | 70c | 27.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…1175backed Doosan Bears | 50c | 24.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6184…77debacked Lotte Giants | 50c | 24.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a07…e438backed Doosan Bears | 50c | 22.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…955ebacked Lotte Giants | 50c | 22.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb8…8edbbacked Lotte Giants | 50c | 21.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5a…e7e2backed Doosan Bears | 50c | 21.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab9b…8545backed Doosan Bears | 50c | 21.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79d6…736ebacked Lotte Giants | 50c | 21.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c6…3e0bbacked Doosan Bears | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Doosan Bears | 79c | 15.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.32 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.