Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
William & Mary Tribe vs. Hofstra Pride
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefb7abe489bcf26dbd44355ad445e50eb128b52954402b7faebe0eb14cbd1496
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hofstra Prideof William & Mary Tribe, Hofstra Pride
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,471
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,471 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Hofstra Pride | 58c | 4,444$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.24 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed William & Mary Tribe | 42c | 3,562$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.58 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hofstra Pride | 57c | 3,044$1,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.91 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Hofstra Pride | 60c | 2,985$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.06 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked William & Mary Tribe | 41c | 2,834$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.06 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3043…2cbbbacked William & Mary Tribe | 45c | 1,725$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.77 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Hofstra Pride | 65c | 1,680$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.85 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Hofstra Pride | 56c | 1,556$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.21 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked William & Mary Tribe | 41c | 1,500$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.5 | 269 | 45.7%123 W · 146 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked William & Mary Tribe | 28c | 1,176$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.13 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Hofstra Pride | 59c | 999.99$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked William & Mary Tribe | 41c | 725.51$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.46 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked William & Mary Tribe | 40c | 721.39$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.93 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Hofstra Pride | 74c | 541.84$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.14 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Hofstra Pride | 57c | 484.79$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.94 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed William & Mary Tribe | 28c | 444.58$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.48 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Hofstra Pride | 72c | 400.44$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.37 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed William & Mary Tribe | 43c | 346.98$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.59 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed William & Mary Tribe | 41c | 314.35$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.88 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…8276backed Hofstra Pride | 62c | 282.46$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.32 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed William & Mary Tribe | 41c | 273.66$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.44 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed William & Mary Tribe | 41c | 266.72$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.36 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked William & Mary Tribe | 13c | 259.53$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.11 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed William & Mary Tribe | 41c | 241.84$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.15 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c4…f4cbbacked William & Mary Tribe | 42c | 236.07$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.15 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…29dcbacked William & Mary Tribe | 44c | 229.57$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.01 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2842…8052backed William & Mary Tribe | 45c | 221.63$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked William & Mary Tribe | 41c | 198.31$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.31 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked William & Mary Tribe | 42c | 184.41$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.45 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95e2…2401backed Hofstra Pride | 57c | 173.93$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad9…3cb4backed William & Mary Tribe | 43c | 170.62$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.37 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Hofstra Pride | 58c | 149.99$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.36 | 334 | 45.8%153 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4546…a2c2backed William & Mary Tribe | 43c | 129.88$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Hofstra Pride | 72c | 115.95$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.02 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked William & Mary Tribe | 38c | 111$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.18 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed William & Mary Tribe | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 247 | 37.7%93 W · 154 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd12…a7b8backed William & Mary Tribe | 42c | 99.14$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.96 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Hofstra Pride | 58c | 85.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.9 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Hofstra Pride | 60c | 82.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.05 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Hofstra Pride | 60c | 81.31$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.52 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Hofstra Pride | 74c | 79.46$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.66 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed William & Mary Tribe | 41c | 59.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed William & Mary Tribe | 41c | 58.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Hofstra Pride | 71c | 57$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed William & Mary Tribe | 30c | 49.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 195 | 22.1%43 W · 152 L | -36.3wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed William & Mary Tribe | 32c | 44.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Hofstra Pride | 71c | 41.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed William & Mary Tribe | 42c | 35.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed William & Mary Tribe | 39c | 33.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed William & Mary Tribe | 42c | 29.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 309 | 45.6%141 W · 168 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed William & Mary Tribe | 41c | 28.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed William & Mary Tribe | 43c | 26.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 229 | 50.7%116 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4168…a631backed William & Mary Tribe | 43c | 25.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf58…711fbacked Hofstra Pride | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Hofstra Pride | 73c | 23.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…84b0backed Hofstra Pride | 64c | 23.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 299 | 54.2%162 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Hofstra Pride | 69c | 16.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- William & Mary Tribe vs. Hofstra Pridethis page
- Spread: Hofstra Pride (-2.5)Hofstra Pride won
- William & Mary Tribe vs. Hofstra Pride: O/U 152.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.