Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs Division One (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0012979a823d5e050f7b25f9e30523ac2291eb7064348b11f6c17dbb98a207f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Division Oneof Nightblood Gaming, Division One
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,129
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,708
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,129 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nightblood Gaming | 17c | 3,064$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.15 | 1,422 | 51.3%729 W · 693 L | +49.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Nightblood Gaming | 54c | 2,093$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.78 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c8…84a6backed Division One | 51c | 1,019$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.63 | 231 | 51.9%120 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Division One | 57c | 632.9$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.63 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Nightblood Gaming | 19c | 556.57$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.75 | 191 | 57.1%109 W · 82 L | +23.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x33e9…895dbacked Nightblood Gaming | 57c | 479.49$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.98 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Division One | 50c | 478.03$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.19 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed Nightblood Gaming | 71c | 477.33$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.95 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd31…8004backed Division One | 62c | 443.92$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.66 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Division One | 76c | 443.28$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.61 | 145 | 33.8%49 W · 96 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4720…007bbacked Division One | 54c | 396.5$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.59 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Division One | 39c | 382.26$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.96 | 1,607 | 37.5%603 W · 1,004 L | -75.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3304…8313backed Nightblood Gaming | 40c | 359.2$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.62 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Nightblood Gaming | 65c | 351.61$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.54 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Division One | 74c | 323.76$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.92 | 102 | 38.2%39 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb1…0787backed Division One | 73c | 301.81$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.57 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ab…20e9backed Division One | 47c | 293.75$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…1792backed Division One | 35c | 276.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.9 | 160 | 41.9%67 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9b…2013backed Division One | 35c | 273.34$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.67 | 191 | 34.6%66 W · 125 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…a39abacked Nightblood Gaming | 37c | 247.59$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.54 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Nightblood Gaming | 37c | 245.42$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.43 | 347 | 39.8%138 W · 209 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Nightblood Gaming | 46c | 242.81$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.71 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd18b…876dbacked Division One | 59c | 233.1$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Nightblood Gaming | 50c | 208.24$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.01 | 269 | 32.3%87 W · 182 L | -25.7wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Division One | 49c | 207.1$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.27 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc947…f70cbacked Division One | 35c | 200.75$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Division One | 45c | 193.46$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.48 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…4c16backed Division One | 29c | 165.07$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.2 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2278…ac5bbacked Nightblood Gaming | 15c | 155.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Division One | 61c | 146.63$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.73 | 783 | 44.1%345 W · 438 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a47…5e77backed Nightblood Gaming | 35c | 141.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.87 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Division One | 63c | 133.05$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.62 | 1,253 | 49.5%620 W · 633 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Division One | 49c | 130.87$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.07 | 999 | 45.9%459 W · 540 L | -27.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdaa…ed87backed Nightblood Gaming | 68c | 124.36$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11ea…594fbacked Nightblood Gaming | 56c | 118.61$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.72 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Division One | 56c | 113.04$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.51 | 175 | 37.7%66 W · 109 L | -14.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nightblood Gaming | 41c | 112.34$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.47 | 1,495 | 46.6%696 W · 799 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Division One | 55c | 109.12$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.33 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5410…dcc7backed Nightblood Gaming | 59c | 106.32$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.73 | 160 | 31.3%50 W · 110 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Division One | 50c | 102.98$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.42 | 308 | 35.4%109 W · 199 L | -23.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Division One | 67c | 91.85$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.23 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb29a…bbdebacked Division One | 56c | 85.67$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.83 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa8…d75fbacked Nightblood Gaming | 44c | 83.46$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Division One | 37c | 81.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.74 | 354 | 31.1%110 W · 244 L | -29.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Division One | 65c | 78.87$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.78 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b9…a7afbacked Division One | 33c | 76.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 28cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x025c…8c60backed Nightblood Gaming | 66c | 72.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Nightblood Gaming | 69c | 71.25$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.07 | 630 | 56.3%355 W · 275 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Division One | 49c | 68.83$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 666 | 38%253 W · 413 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Division One | 53c | 68.53$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.55 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Nightblood Gaming | 55c | 67.07$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.91 | 415 | 37.1%154 W · 261 L | -26.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed Nightblood Gaming | 38c | 63.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -13.0wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Nightblood Gaming | 61c | 61.32$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Division One | 49c | 59.97$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.73 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Division One | 61c | 59.92$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd5…84c4backed Division One | 54c | 59.81$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Nightblood Gaming | 28c | 59.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 155 | 12.3%19 W · 136 L | -27.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Nightblood Gaming | 73c | 59.02$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.94 | 346 | 71.1%246 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked Nightblood Gaming | 54c | 57.65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.01 | 157 | 54.1%85 W · 72 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked Nightblood Gaming | 41c | 56.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…8763backed Nightblood Gaming | 60c | 48.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Division One | 35c | 48.12$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.47 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +56%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x354f…95f8backed Nightblood Gaming | 68c | 40.39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.2wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x89dd…551ebacked Division One | 52c | 37.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…b336backed Nightblood Gaming | 65c | 31.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4f…6e10backed Nightblood Gaming | 62c | 31.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Nightblood Gaming | 59c | 31.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 306 | 52.3%160 W · 146 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Division One | 64c | 21.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc538…c555backed Nightblood Gaming | 68c | 21.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a4…f702backed Division One | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Division One | 57c | 18.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 174 | 48.3%84 W · 90 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Nightblood Gaming | 66c | 16.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc574…c366backed Division One | 67c | 16.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs Division One (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Group Stagethis page
- Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs Division One - Map 1 WinnerDivision One won
- Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs Division One - Map 2 WinnerNightblood Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.