MLB · resolved market
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Atlanta Braves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf006031efa71fabdbaea58e1d4096c8cc46f2da73950b07747299917a8ab2a16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Bravesof Tampa Bay Rays, Atlanta Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,368
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,368 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Atlanta Braves | 62c | 10,025$6,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,822.07 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Tampa Bay Rays | 0c | 5,682$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 37c | 4,426$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659.86 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Atlanta Braves | 62c | 3,088$1,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.11 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 2,794$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.56 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Atlanta Braves | 64c | 1,566$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.12 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 1,002$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.62 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Tampa Bay Rays | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 969.17$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.69 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 499.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 37c | 460.6$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.42 | 191 | 43.5%83 W · 108 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 401.96$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.71 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 302.99$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.23 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 276$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.16 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 268$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.19 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Tampa Bay Rays | 37c | 265$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.05 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Tampa Bay Rays | 18c | 224.04$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 201 | 38.8%78 W · 123 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 213$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.67 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 36c | 206.4$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.3 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6b…d720backed Atlanta Braves | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Atlanta Braves | 63c | 165.65$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.35 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 159.84$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.93 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Tampa Bay Rays | 34c | 140.48$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.22 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 128.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 249 | 50.6%126 W · 123 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8158…4df5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…d3edbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 126.01$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.87 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…11bbbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74c1…7ad0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Atlanta Braves | 60c | 125$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 114.72$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 83.3$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.15 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -23.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Atlanta Braves | 61c | 82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Atlanta Braves | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6196…1a64backed Atlanta Braves | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 175 | 58.3%102 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Tampa Bay Rays | 35c | 72.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…7873backed Tampa Bay Rays | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 37c | 57.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 393 | 44.3%174 W · 219 L | -22.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 53.24$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb69b…6083backed Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 51.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 35cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Atlanta Braves | 76c | 45.51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Tampa Bay Rays | 35c | 38.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 36.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 34.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Atlanta Braves | 72c | 34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62f9…ae42backed Atlanta Braves | 64c | 32.97$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…ad71backed Atlanta Braves | 62c | 29.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…c4b2backed Atlanta Braves | 63c | 26.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5a…9b3bbacked Atlanta Braves | 61c | 25.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 370 | 48.9%181 W · 189 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x406c…ec46backed Atlanta Braves | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5320…6e19backed Atlanta Braves | 63c | 19.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Atlanta Braves | 73c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Atlanta Braves | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.