TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Morehead State Eagles vs. Little Rock Trojans

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Morehead State Eaglesof Morehead State Eagles, Little Rock Trojans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$59,257
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$68,656

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,257 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Little Rock Trojans13c19,364$2,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,424.745,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Morehead State Eagles41c7,856$3,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,670.7230249.3%149 W · 153 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Morehead State Eagles41c4,912$2,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,882.081,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Morehead State Eagles73c4,598$3,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,248.733,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Little Rock Trojans59c4,540$2,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,678.434738.3%18 W · 29 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Little Rock Trojans60c3,730$2,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,238.241833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Little Rock Trojans59c3,110$1,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,843.782,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Morehead State Eagles75c2,229$1,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.551,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Morehead State Eagles42c2,053$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,190.9534343.4%149 W · 194 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Little Rock Trojans58c1,938$1,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,127.251,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Little Rock Trojans31c1,615$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.31,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Little Rock Trojans59c1,466$862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861.642,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Morehead State Eagles79c1,051$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.783,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd61…ebbdbacked Little Rock Trojans10c771.8$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.672147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Little Rock Trojans2c711.97$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.242,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Little Rock Trojans30c660.97$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.3893247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Little Rock Trojans29c514.32$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.224,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Little Rock Trojans57c478.66$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.125,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3342…7b8bbacked Little Rock Trojans9c473.34$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.86633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-52.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Morehead State Eagles43c325.11$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.3189645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Morehead State Eagles43c299.99$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.992,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Little Rock Trojans60c297.48$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.492653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+29.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7db0…f397backed Morehead State Eagles77c252.29$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.961241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-32.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Little Rock Trojans59c247.88$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.2589146.2%412 W · 479 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Morehead State Eagles42c199.99$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1161,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Morehead State Eagles41c169.29$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.8831537.8%119 W · 196 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Little Rock Trojans9c165.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9494036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Morehead State Eagles40c159.67$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.878052.2%407 W · 373 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Little Rock Trojans57c148.71$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.7716546.7%77 W · 88 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a2d…4f43backed Morehead State Eagles43c138.34$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.855945.8%27 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Morehead State Eagles42c137.25$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.650745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Little Rock Trojans17c104.89$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.151,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Little Rock Trojans58c99$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0343053.3%229 W · 201 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Morehead State Eagles78c89.65$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.492,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9423…bba6backed Morehead State Eagles44c89.4$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.26475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+98.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Little Rock Trojans19c89.34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.41,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Morehead State Eagles40c86.54$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.921,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Morehead State Eagles40c81.31$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.794,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe496…4d8bbacked Little Rock Trojans57c74.46$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3217945.8%82 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Morehead State Eagles40c74.42$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.6593447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Morehead State Eagles66c70.48$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9371655.3%396 W · 320 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc554…00adbacked Little Rock Trojans24c64.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.422454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x22be…e36ebacked Morehead State Eagles44c49.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.096036.7%22 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick31cpaid-3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa82f…9fb8backed Morehead State Eagles43c46.11$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.28666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick35cpaid+83.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x36f0…2711backed Morehead State Eagles42c42.66$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.766162.3%38 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed Little Rock Trojans27c39.76$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7425239.3%99 W · 153 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Little Rock Trojans29c38.66$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0470936.1%256 W · 453 L-27.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1b5…2e74backed Morehead State Eagles41c38.65$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6619860.1%119 W · 79 L+15.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+18.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Little Rock Trojans58c35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.339050.5%197 W · 193 L-34.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Little Rock Trojans58c34.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1981528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa82f…ba73backed Morehead State Eagles47c27.42$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.531942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf702…683dbacked Morehead State Eagles45c26.37$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.48650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Morehead State Eagles79c16.55$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.4822953.7%123 W · 106 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Morehead State Eagles80c12.92$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.5931666.1%209 W · 107 L+24.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.